“一带一路”中亚区水资源利用与经济社会发展匹配度分析  

Analysis of matching degree between water resource utilization and economic-social development in Central Asia area of “Belt and Road”

作　　者：郝林钢 左其亭[1] 刘建华[2] 韩春辉[1] 马军霞[1] HAO lingang;ZUO Qiting;LIU Jianhua;HAN Chunhui;MA Junxia(School of Water Conservancy ＆ Environment,Zhengzhou University;School of Management Engineering,Zhengzhou University,Zhengzhou 450001,China)

机构地区：[1]郑州大学水利与环境学院,河南郑州450001 [2]郑州大学管理工程学院,河南郑州450001

出　　处：《水资源保护》2018年第4期42-48,共7页Water Resources Protection

基　　金：国家自然科学基金(51779230);郑州大学重大科技项目培育基金(2015ZDPY011)

摘　　要：统计1997、2002、2007和2014年中亚区5国水资源利用(总用水量、农业用水量、工业用水量、生活用水量)和经济社会(人口、GDP)数据,采用基于数列的匹配度计算方法,分别计算了中亚各国水资源利用与经济社会发展在时间和空间上的匹配度。结果表明:1997—2014年中亚地区水资源利用与经济社会发展的时间匹配度呈先上升后下降的趋势;空间匹配度从大到小依次为:塔吉克斯坦、吉尔吉斯斯坦、土库曼斯坦、乌兹别克斯坦和哈萨克斯坦;水资源利用-GDP的匹配度略高于水资源利用-人口的匹配度,工业用水量与经济社会发展的匹配度略高于总用水量、农业用水量、生活用水量与经济社会发展的匹配度。The water resources utilization data including total water use,agricultural water use,industrial water use,and domestic water use and economic-social data including population and GDP of five Central Asia countries in 1997,2002,2007,and 2014 were calculated by using a calculation method of matching degree based on the data sequence. The matching degree between water resource utilization and economic-social development in Central Asia countries was calculated in time and space. The results indicate that： overall,from 1997 to 2014,the time matching degree between water resource utilization and economic-social development in Central Asia increases first and then decreases; in space, the matching degree of water resource utilization and economic-social development in Central Asia is Tajikistan,Kyrgyzstan,Turkmenistan,Uzbekistan,and Kazakhstan from large to small; the matching degree between water resource utilization and GDP is slightly higher than that between water resource utilization and population. The matching degree between industrial water use and economic-social development is slightly higher than that between other water use and economic-social development.

关 键 词：“一带一路” 中亚 水资源利用 经济社会发展 匹配度 

分 类 号：TV213.9[水利工程—水文学及水资源]