中国集装箱内河运输网络的结构脆弱性研究  

Structural Vulnerability of Chinese Inland Waterway Container Shipping Network

作　　者：李振福 刘诗炎 徐梦俏 LI Zhenfu;LIU Shiyan;XU Mengqiao(College of Transportation Engineering,Dalian Maritime University,Dalian 116026,China;Faculty of Management and Economics,Dalian University of Technology,Dalian 116024,China)

机构地区：[1]大连海事大学交通运输工程学院,辽宁大连116026 [2]大连理工大学管理与经济学部,辽宁大连116024

出　　处：《地域研究与开发》2018年第3期11-16,共6页Areal Research and Development

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重大项目(13&ZD170);国家自然科学基金项目(61174166);教育部新世纪优秀人才支持计划项目(NCET-13-0701);辽宁省社科联基地委托重点项目(2016lsljdwtzdi an-01);中国博士后科学基金面上资助项目(2017M621141)

摘　　要：根据内河集装箱班轮运输航线的港口挂靠信息,构建中国集装箱内河运输网络。基于复杂网络理论中衡量节点重要性的度中心性和中介中心性指标,模拟针对港口的蓄意攻击,分析中国集装箱内河运输网络的结构脆弱性。结果表明:两种蓄意攻击下,当失效港口比例达到33%时,网络基本都陷入瘫痪;与基于港口度中心性攻击相比,网络结构应对港口中介中心性攻击时较为脆弱。此外,进一步结合港口的空间分布格局,识别出对于维持中国集装箱内河运输网络稳定起决定性作用的14个重要港口及其影响范围。Firstly,Chinese inland waterway container shipping network is constructed according to the port call information of the collected inland waterway liner services. Then,from a perspective of complex network theory,the structural vulnerability of Chinese inland waterway container shipping network,under intentional attack on ports,is analyzed. Two intentional attack strategies are used： degree-based and betweenness-based attack. The results show that,the network gets paralyzed once the number of attacked ports reaches 33% of the initial ports,and the network structure is more vulnerable under betwenness-based attack than degree-based attack. Besides,combining the spatial distribution of those studied ports,this paper further indentifies 14 major ports playing critical roles in maintaining the stability of Chinese inland waterway container shipping network,together with their respective influence scope.

关 键 词：集装箱 内河运输网络 结构脆弱性 复杂网络理论 中国 

分 类 号：U612.14[交通运输工程—船舶及航道工程]