基于技术挖掘方法的新兴技术预测及案例分析  

Emerging technology forecast and a case study based on technology mining method

作　　者：张宁 刘勇 郭婷[1] 宣晓冬 ZHANG Ning;LIU Yong;GUO Ting;XUAN Xiaodogn(College of Geography and Enchrommental Science,Zhejiang Noraml Unviersty Jinhua 321004,China;Acodemy of Sciences,Zhejiang Normal Universty,Jinhua 321004,China;,Zhejiang Intellevtual Property Research and Senice Center,Hangzhou 311112,China)

机构地区：[1]浙江师范大学地理与环境科学学院,浙江金华321004 [2]浙江师范大学科学研究院,浙江金华321004 [3]浙江省知识产权研究与服务中心,浙江杭州310012

出　　处：《浙江师范大学学报（自然科学版）》2018年第2期173-179,共7页Journal of Zhejiang Normal University:Natural Sciences

基　　金：浙江省自然科学基金资助项目(LY14E070002)

摘　　要：建立了一套基于科技文献数据的技术识别与技术预测方法.通过文献检索、词频分析及聚类技术分析,最终发现新技术和技术方向,并评估技术发展前景.以室内空气净化技术为研究案例,进行了室内空气净化技术的识别与评价,最终确定光催化氧化技术是最具应用前景的室内空气净化技术.研究成果为开拓技术挖掘提供一种新的思路,并推动其在技术预测过程中的应用.A set of technology identification and technology forecasting method was established based on scientitle literature data. Through literature search, word fi＇equency analysis, clustering analysis, new technology and technology direction were evaluated and forecasted. As a ease study, the indoor sir purification technology was analyzed by this technology mining method, the photocatalytic oxidation technology had been selected as the most promising indoor air purification technology.

关 键 词：技术挖掘 新兴技术 技术预测 室内空气净化技术 TDA 

分 类 号：N99[文化科学—情报学]