婚姻对老年人健康预期寿命影响的多状态研究  

Multi-state Model: a Study on the Impact of Marriage on Healthy Life Expectancy of the Elderly in China

作　　者：李成福[1] 王海涛 王勇[1] 陈佳鹏[1] LI Chengfu;WANG Haitao;WANG Yong;CHEN Jiapeng(China Population and Development Research Center, Belting 100081, China;China Research Center on Aging, Belting 100054, China)

机构地区：[1]中国人口与发展研究中心,北京100081 [2]中国老龄科学研究中心,北京100054

出　　处：《老龄科学研究》2018年第6期38-44,共7页Scientific Research on Aging

基　　金：科技部"十二五"国家科技支撑项目"人口与发展数学模型与综合决策支持系统"(2012BAI40B01)

摘　　要：运用多状态生命表模型,基于中国城乡老年人口状况追踪调查2006和2010年数据,分析婚姻状况对老年人健康预期寿命的影响。结果显示,中国60岁及以上老年人有配偶的占64.61%,有配偶老年人的健康预期寿命长于无配偶(未婚、离异、丧偶)老年人(60岁老年人,20.28岁v.s.16.55岁;70岁老年人,10.12岁v.s.8.63岁;80岁老年人,4.15岁v.s.3.28岁;90岁老年人,3.03岁v.s.1.53岁)。有配偶老年人的健康预期寿命占预期寿命的比重高于无配偶老年人。婚姻状况会对老年人健康预期寿命产生影响,并影响其生命质量,社会应创造条件改善老年人婚姻状况,提升老年人健康水平。Based on the multi-state life table model and data from the Tracking Survey on the Living Conditions of China＇s Urban and Rural Older Persons（2006 and 2010）, this paper analyzed the impact of marital status on the healthy life expectancy of the elderly in China. Results show that 64.61% of the elderly aged 60 years or above have a spouse, and those with a spouse have longer healthy life expectancy than those without one（unmarried, divorced or widowed）： for the 60-year-old, 20.28 vs. 16.55 years; for the 70-year-old, 10.12 vs. 8.63 years; for the 80-year-old,4.15 v.s. 3.28 years; for the 90-year-old, 3.03 vs. 1.53 years. The proportion of healthy life expectancy in the total lifespan for the elderly with a spouse is higher than that for older people without one. Marital status also has an impact on healthy life expectancy of the elderly, affecting their quality of life. We should, therefore, create the conditions for improving the marital status and health of the elderly in china.

关 键 词：老龄化 健康预期寿命 婚姻 多状态生命表 

分 类 号：C913.6[经济管理]