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作 者:柳国华[1]
机构地区:[1]济源职业技术学院
出 处:《价格理论与实践》2018年第4期60-63,共4页Price:Theory & Practice
基 金:河南省政府决策研究招标课题(2016B032);河南省人文社会科学研究项目立项课题(2018-ZZJH-058)
摘 要:长期以来,我国天然气产业链实行分级管理体制,导致产业链上下游之间存在价格传递的不一致,进而妨碍资源的合理利用和有效配置,出现"气荒"问题。通过对天然气上游生产与下游燃气供应企业之间的价格传递分析,由于天然气特殊属性,上下游价格传递存在一定的滞后性。通过构建VAR模型分析上下游之间价格传导关系,研究表明:上游价格对下游价格的变动立即有响应,随后逐渐消失,而下游价格对上游价格的调整变化在短期内基本没有变动;说明存在滞后性。For a long time, China's natural gas industry chain has implemented a hierarchical management system, resulting in inconsistencies in price transmission between the upstream and downstream of the industrial chain, which hindered the rational use and effective allocation of resources, and the problem of"gas shortage"appeared. Through the analysis of the price transfer between the upstream production of natural gas and the downstream gas supply enterprises, due to the special properties of natural gas, there is a certain lag in the price transmission between upstream and downstream. By constructing the VAR model to analyze the price conduction relationship between upstream and downstream, the research shows that the upstream price responds immediately to the change of the downstream price, and then gradually disappears, while the adjustment of the downstream price to the upstream price does not change in the short term; Sex.
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