重点国有林区山上职工家庭搬迁对其福祉的影响——基于倾向得分匹配的计量实证分析  

The Influence of the Relocation of Family Members on the Mountain in Key State-owned Forest Areas on their Well-being——Empirical empirical analysis based on propensity score matching

作　　者：赵宗胤 黄世伟[1] 詹天悦 任月[1] 刘知遥 傅钰 余静 ZAHO Zong-yin, HUANG Shi-wei, ZHAN Tian-yue, REN Yue, LIU Zhi-yao, FU Yu, XU Jing(College of Economics and Management,Northeast Forestry University,Harbin 150040, China)

机构地区：[1]东北林业大学经济管理学院,哈尔滨150040

出　　处：《中国林业经济》2018年第5期11-16,共6页China Forestry Economics

基　　金：中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助项目(2572015EC04);全国统计科学研究项目(2016LY31);国家林业局"重点国有林区改革监测项目"(ZDWT-2016-7-1);国家级大学生创新训练项目(201710225094)

摘　　要：为解决传统方法分析林区职工家庭对搬迁行为选择的选择偏差,借助倾向得分匹配法处理家庭样本的内生性问题。同时使用2016年7~8月东北、内蒙古重点国有林区民生状况监测数据,构建林区职工民生福祉评价体系,通过模糊综合评价和倾向得分匹配的方法,对其进行计量实证分析。结果表明,搬迁有利于山上职工家庭福祉的增进,实现帕累托改进,对其健康福祉、安全福祉和社会福祉也有显著的、正向的影响,同时对基本物质福祉和精神福祉的影响不显著。In order to solve the traditional method of analyzing the selection bias of the family members in the forest area on the choice of relocation behavior, the propensity score matching method is used to deal with the endogeneity of the family sample. At the same time, using the monitoring data of the people＇s livelihood in the key state-owned forest areas in Northeast China and Inner Mongolia from July to August2016, the evaluation system of the people＇s livelihood and welfare of the forest workers was constructed. The fuzzy comprehensive evaluation and the tendency score matching method were used to measure the evidence. The results show that the relocation is conducive to the improvement of the welfare of the mountain workers, achieving Pareto improvement, and has a significant and positive impact on their health and well-being, safety and well-being, and the impact on basic material well-being and spiritual well-being.

关 键 词：国有林区 职工搬迁 民生福祉 倾向得分匹配法 模糊综合评价法 

分 类 号：F326.25[经济管理—产业经济]