2007—2016年全国煤矿事故统计及发生规律研究  

Statistical Analysis and Occurrence Laws of Coal Mine Accidents of China from 2007 to 2016

作　　者：诸利一 吕文生[1] 杨鹏[1,2] 王志凯 王昆 ZHU Liyi;LYU Wensheng;YANG Peng;WANG Zhikai;WANG Kun(School of Civil and Resources Engineering,University of Science and Technology Beijing,Beijing 100083,China;Beijing Key Laboratory of Information Service Engineering,Beijing l O0083,China)

机构地区：[1]北京科技大学土木与资源工程学院,北京100083 [2]北京市信息服务工程重点实验室,北京100101

出　　处：《煤矿安全》2018年第7期237-240,共4页Safety in Coal Mines

基　　金："十二五"国家科技支撑计划资助项目(2012BAB08B01)

摘　　要：为了深入研究煤矿事故频发原因和规律,基于国家安监总局煤矿事故查询系统得到的数据,从事故发生级别、类型、地点3个维度对我国近十年的煤矿事故进行了研究。并利用SPSS21软件构建了重大、特重大事故与瓦斯、火灾的关系模型。结果表明:较大和重大事故得到了有效地遏制,但特大事故时有发生,并容易反弹;在事故类型中顶板事故最为频发,瓦斯是造成一次伤亡最大的煤矿事故。贵州煤矿安全形势最为严峻,山西、黑龙江、内蒙古、重庆4省占全国煤矿特重大事故起数和死亡人数分别53.3%和63.8%。重大、特重大事故死亡人数与瓦斯事故死亡人数关系为二次关系,与火灾事故死亡人数为增长关系。In order to reveal the reasons and regulations of coal mine accidents, based on the statistical data of coal mine accidents from inquiry system of State Administration of Work Safety, the coal mine accidents in China have been studied in the past ten years from the level, type and location of the accident. SPSS21 software was used to build relationship models between major and special accidents and gas and fire. The result shows that serious accidents and major accidents have been effectively curbed, but big accidents happen sometimes, and tend to bounce back. Roof accidents are most frequent in the type of the accident, and gas is the deadliest coal mine accident. Guizhou Province is facing the most serious safety situations, while, in Shanxi, Heilongjiang, Inner Mongolia and Chongqing, the number of major accidents and death toll of major accidents in the national coal mines is 53.3% and 63.8% respectively. And there is square relationship between gas and major and particularly serious accidents, while, the relationship between gas and major and particularly serious accidents is growth model.

关 键 词：安全工程 煤矿事故 统计分析 发生规律 回归建模 事故类型 

分 类 号：TD79[矿业工程—矿井通风与安全]