交通与金融发展对碳排放的影响路径分析——基于“一带一路”战略圈定省份的研究  

Analysis of the Impact of Traffic and Financial Development on Carbon Emissions: Based on the Provinces Delineated by the Belt and Road

作　　者：刘亚男 刘金培[1,2] 花卉 LIU Ya-nan;LIU Jin-pei;HUA Hui(School of Business,Anhui University,Hefei 230601,China;Edward P.Fitts Department of Industrial and Systems Engineering,North Carolina State University,Raleigh,NC,27695,USA)

机构地区：[1]安徽大学商学院,合肥230601 [2]北卡罗莱纳州立大学工业与系统工程系,美国罗利27695

出　　处：《重庆工商大学学报（自然科学版）》2018年第5期83-90,共8页Journal of Chongqing Technology and Business University:Natural Science Edition

基　　金：国家自然科学基金(71501002,61502003,71371011,71771001,71701001);安徽省自然科学基金(1508085QG149,1608085QF133);安徽省高校省级自然科学研究重点项目(KJ2015A379,KJ2017A026,KJ2016A250);安徽大学创新训练项目(201710357506)

摘　　要：针对"一带一路"沿线地区日益严峻的生态环境问题,建立了结构方程模型探究交通和金融发展对碳排放的影响路径;通过模型将交通和金融发展置于同一框架,具体分析了二者对碳排放的作用机制和影响效果;选取2006—2016年相关数据,实证研究表明:交通和金融发展对碳排放均产生正向作用,但影响效果具有显著差异;其中交通发展通过直接和间接两条路径显著影响碳排放,且直接效应大于间接效应;金融发展对碳排放存在正反两种作用路径,总的影响效果较小;建议发展绿色交通、绿色金融和绿色技术,助力"一带一路"。Given that the ecological environment of the areas along the Belt and Road is increasingly exasperated,a structural equation model （SEM） is established to explore the impact of traffic and financial development on carbon emissions. Transportation and finance are placed in the same framework, and the mechanism and effect of the two factors on carbon emissions are analyzed in detail. Based on the relevant data from 2006 to 2016, the result shows that both traffic and financial development influence carbon emissions positively, but the impacts of each have a notable difference. Traffic development has significant impact on carbon emissions in direct and indirect paths, meanwhile, the direct effect outweighs indirect effect. There exist positive and negative functioning paths for financial development on carbon emissions, which makes the total effect small. In order to boost the development of the Belt and Road, it is suggested to improve green transport, green finance and green technologies.

关 键 词：一带一路 碳排放 影响路径 结构方程模型 

分 类 号：C934[经济管理—管理学]