新型城镇化水平的组合评价与发展预测——以安徽省16市为例  

The Combination Evaluation and Development Forecast of New Urbanization Level——Taken 16 Cities of Anhui Province as an Example

作　　者：李姗姗[1] 李勇[1] 汪家宇 Li Shanshan;Li Yong;Zhang Jiayu(Anhui University of Finance and Economic)

机构地区：[1]安徽财经大学

出　　处：《哈尔滨师范大学自然科学学报》2018年第2期45-51,共7页Natural Science Journal of Harbin Normal University

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目"3-流猜想;Fulkerson-覆盖及相关问题"(11601001)

摘　　要：针对安徽省各市新型城镇化水平,首先从人口规模、经济水平、公共服务、基础设施和资源环境五个方面构建城镇化水平的评价指标体系,分别利用综合评价法和组合评价法对安徽省16个地级市的新型城镇化进行评价,得到各市新型城镇化水平的排名,其中合肥市的城镇化水平最高,排名第一.其次利用灰色预测法预测各市未来三年的新型城镇化水平,最后结合组合评价和预测结果,给出加快安徽省新型城镇化建设的合理化建议.For the new urbanization comprehensive level of Anhui, first of all, a new type of urbanization evaluation index system is constructed from five aspects： population size,economy level,public service,infrastructure and resource environment,then used the comprehensive evaluation method and the combination evaluation method,the 16 cities in Anhui new urbanization respectively is evaluated,the ranking of the new urbanization level in each city is got,it shows that Hefei has the highest level of urbanization,so it ranks first,next,used grey prediction method,a new type of urbanization level of the next three years is preducted. Through the combination of comprehensive evaluation and prediction results,rationalization proposal of the construction of new urbanization in Anhui is given.

关 键 词：新型城镇化 评价指标体系 组合评价 

分 类 号：F291.1[经济管理—国民经济]