美国页岩革命与俄罗斯东进油气出口战略构建  

Russian Strategy for Oil and Natural Gas Exporting Against US Shale Revolution

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作  者:李昕[1] Li Xin(School of Law,Anhui University of Finance and Economics,Bengbu Anhui,233030,China)

机构地区:[1]安徽财经大学法学院,安徽蚌埠233030

出  处:《西南石油大学学报(社会科学版)》2018年第5期1-11,共11页Journal of Southwest Petroleum University(Social Sciences Edition)

基  金:安徽省高校人文社科重点研究项目"‘一带一路’战略构想与中国能源国际合作模式转型研究"(SK2015A225)

摘  要:在页岩革命推动下,2008年以来,美国油气产量大幅增长,对进口油气的依存度逐年下降;与此同时,俄罗斯的油气产量逐年萎缩,对欧洲市场的出口持续减少。美国页岩繁荣与俄罗斯油气出口不振的同步出现表明二者存在较强的关联。美国页岩革命不但使俄罗斯的油气出口面临量价齐跌的双重打击,加剧了国内经济困难,而且削弱了其地缘政治影响力。为摆脱政治经济困局,俄罗斯对以欧洲为中心的传统油气出口战略进行调整,确定了"东进"油气出口战略,寻求提高在亚太地区的市场份额,以此作为扭转困境的重要途径。特朗普上台后的能源优先政策使得俄罗斯的油气出口战略调整具有长期性趋势。Since 2008, US oil and gas output has risen dramatically as the result of the Shale Revolution and has become less dependent on oil and gas import. On the other hand, Russian oil and gas export to the European market keeps dropping as the result of its shrinking output. The US shale gas booming has caused the drop in Russian oil and gas output and exporting price, and has weakened Russia' s geopolitical influence. To get rid of the political and economic difficulties it faced, Russia adjusted its Europe-oriented oil and gas exporting strategy and took measures to increase its share in Asian-Pacific market. Russia' s adjustment to its oil and gas exporting strategy tends to last long in the context of Trump administration' s emphasis on energy.

关 键 词:能源安全 页岩革命 “东进”油气出口战略 美俄关系 亚太油气市场 

分 类 号:F407.22[经济管理—产业经济]

 

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