我国制造业出口的区际转移:理论与实证  

Regional Transference of China's Manufacturing Exports:A Theoretical and Empirical Analysis

作　　者：朱克朋 ZHU Ke-peng(School of Business,Anhui University of Technology,Ma＇anshan 243032,Anhui,China)

机构地区：[1]安徽工业大学商学院,安徽马鞍山243032

出　　处：《安徽工业大学学报（社会科学版）》2018年第2期3-5,10,共4页Journal of Anhui University of Technology：Social Sciences

基　　金：安徽省哲学社会科学规划一般项目:制造业向外转移与国内劳动力就业研究(AHSKYG2017D133);安徽省高校人文社会科学研究重点项目:劳动力成本上升对内陆地区出口竞争力的影响:理论分析与实证检验(SK2016A0170)

摘　　要：近年来,我国制造业出口有从东部地区向中部地区转移的迹象。建立一个国内两地区模型对制造业出口的区际转移进行理论分析,结论是地区间生产率的相对变化是其根本原因,而要素价格的差异并非原因。用2013—2016年分省数据对理论进行了实证检验,结果与理论分析基本一致。实证结果表明,地区的相对生产率对该地区的出口份额影响显著;地区间的工资差异并不影响出口份额,但是较高的房价对出口份额有负面影响。各地应重视促进生产率的发展,对房价的不合理因素进行调控,而不必过于注重劳动力成本。In recent years,China＇s manufacturing exports have shown signs of shifting from eastern region to central region.Through establishing a domestic two-region model to theoretically analyze regional transference of manufacturing exports,it comes to a conclusion that the relative change of regional productivity is the fundamental reason but not the difference in factor prices.The theory is empirically tested by using the data between 2013 and 2016,and the result is basically consistent with the theoretical analysis.The empirical results show that regional relative productivity has a significant impact on the regional export share,while regional wage disparities do not affect export share.However,higher housing prices have a negative impact on export share.Localities should attach importance to promoting the development of productivity,adjust and control unreasonable factors of housing prices instead of paying too much attention to labor costs.

关 键 词：制造业出口 区际转移 生产率 要素价格 

分 类 号：F429.9[经济管理—产业经济]