小子样条件下命中精度Bayes序贯检验与递推估计  

Bayesian Sequential Test and Recursive Estimation of Hitting Precision Under Small Sample Condition

作　　者：刘泽坤 宋贵宝 罗亚民 李一夫 LIU Ze-kun;SONG Gui-bao;LUO Ya-min;LI Yi-fu(Naval Aeronautical University,Yantai 264001,China)

机构地区：[1]海军航空大学,山东烟台264001

出　　处：《电光与控制》2018年第9期88-92,共5页Electronics Optics & Control

摘　　要：Bayes序贯检验和Bayes递推估计法分别从假设检验和参数估计角度对传统试验评定方法进行改进,将二者联合运用,检验和估计紧密结合,运用于导弹命中精度评定试验,充分利用验前信息以弥补现场数据的不足,制定合理有效的评定方案,使得试验结果更加准确、试验用弹量更少。实例分析表明,该方法能够有效提高检验和估计结果可信性,适用于小子样条件下的命中精度评定试验。Bayesian sequential test and Bayesian recursive estimation method can improve the traditional test evaluation method respectively from the aspect of hypothesis testing and parameter estimation. The two methods arc used together here and applied to evaluation test of missile hit accuracy, which can combine test with estimation closely. It can make full use of priori information to make up for the lack of field data, and formulate a reasonable and effective evaluation scheme, which makes the test results more accurate and uses less ammunition for experiment. The example analysis shows that this method can effectively improve the test and estimation result, and is suitable for the evaluation test under the condition of small sample.

关 键 词：导弹命中精度 小子样 序贯验后加权检验 Bayes递推估计 

分 类 号：TJ760[兵器科学与技术—武器系统与运用工程]