两种观赏桃花花期预测  

Florescence Prediction of Two Ornamental Peach Blossoms

作　　者：缴丽莉[1] 乔鹤[1] 孟永红[1] 朱迎新 路斌[2] JIAO Li-li;QIAO He;MENG Yong-hong;ZHU Ying-xin;LU Bin(Zoo Management Office of Shijiazhuang City,Shijiazhuang 050020,China;College of Landseape and Tourism,Hebei Agrieuhure University,Baoding 071000,China)

机构地区：[1]石家庄市动物园管理处,河北石家庄050020 [2]河北农业大学园林与旅游学院,河北保定071000

出　　处：《中国果菜》2018年第9期76-78,81,共4页China Fruit & Vegetable

摘　　要：为了准确预测预报桃花花期,为市民提供早春出游赏花的准确播报,同时为园林工作者提供桃花养护信息以及合理安排春季游园公园管理工作。依据物候学相关规律,采用回归分析的方法,分析了石家庄5年生桃花的始花期、花衰期与气温资料,建立了两种桃花花期的预报模型。通过检验,模型预报效果良好,同时,发现桃花始花期有明显提前的趋势。In order to predict the peach blossom period accurately, provide the public with accurate information of peach blossom appreciation in spring, provide garden workers with information of peach blossom maintenance and park management in spring, this paper establishes a prediction model for florescence. According to in Shijiazhuang for 5 years, the model were analyzed by regression analysis, based on the sequence correlation law of phenology, and the data of peach blossom initiation, flower decay and air temperature of 5-year-old peach. Through further tests, the prediction eft）or of the model is good. At the same time, it was found that the flowering stage of peach blossoms showed an obvious trend of advance.

关 键 词：桃花 花期模型 物候期 花期预测 

分 类 号：P464[天文地球—大气科学及气象学]