贸易开放与产业升级对我国区域就业的协同影响——基于分区域省级面板数据的分析  

The Co-ordinated Effect of Trade Openness and Upgrading of Industrial Structure on Regional Employment——Based on Regional Panel Data in China

作　　者：袁冬梅[1] 陈晓佳 信超辉 YUAN Dongmei;CHEN Xiaojia;XIN Chaohui

机构地区：[1]湖南师范大学商学院 [2]武汉大学经济与管理学院 [3]中山大学粤港澳发展研究院

出　　处：《湖南师范大学社会科学学报》2018年第5期68-77,共10页Journal of Social Science of Hunan Normal University

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目"新型城镇化与产业转型升级良性互动发展的机理及路径研究"(14BJL068);湖南省教育厅重点项目"新型城镇化背景下贸易开放缩小城乡收入差距的理论及政策研究"(14A086)

摘　　要：以城镇单位就业人数度量就业,出口促进就业、进口替代就业,各地区出口贸易与产业调整协同作用整体上均促进了就业。以大学毕业生就业人数度量就业,出口贸易、产业结构优化独自或协同作用有利于全国整体及东部地区高技术劳动力就业,但对中西部地区作用为负。因此,各地区需进一步发挥贸易开放和产业结构调整的协同作用,注重劳动力异质性匹配需求,东部地区应侧重发展高端产业以提高高技术劳动力吸纳力,中西部地区应注重依托传统产业转型升级提高总就业率,区域间力争形成产业布局与劳动力就业的梯度互补式发展。With the total urban employment rate as the dependent variable, the pulling effect of export and substitution effect of import on employment are both significant, and the interaction between trade and industrial structure also has a positive effect on em- ployment. With the employment rate of college graduates as the dependent variables, export and industry upgrading as well as their interaction have positive effects on employment of high skill workers in the east. While, the effect is negative in the middle and west. Therefore, it makes great sense to improve the interaction between trade and industrial structure change, and focus on the matches of different quality of labor. The east region needs to improve the absorption of high-tech workers, and the middle and west to improve the total employment rate based on industry upgrading.

关 键 词：贸易开放 产业升级 区域就业差异 2SLS估计 

分 类 号：F752.8[经济管理—国际贸易] F249.27[经济管理—产业经济]