改革开放以来苏州市人口空间分布演化研究——基于1982～2010年四次人口普查资料的分析  

Research on the Evolution of Population Spatial Distribution in Suzhou City since Reform and Opening-up:Based on analysis of four census data from 1982 to 2010

作　　者：曹灿明[1,2] 段进军[2] CAO Can-ming;DUAN Jin-jun(Applied Technical School;Dongwu Business School,Soochow University,Suzhou Jiangsu 215006,China)

机构地区：[1]苏州大学应用技术学院,江苏苏州215006 [2]苏州大学东吴商学院,江苏苏州215006

出　　处：《西北人口》2018年第6期32-39,共8页Northwest Population Journal

基　　金：江苏省软科学项目"苏南自主创新示范区创新生态系统形成机制研究"(编号:BR2016015);教育部中国城镇化研究中心研究基地重大项目"基于社会空间辩证法视角下苏南城乡社会空间重构研究"(编号:15JJDZONGHE015)

摘　　要：利用1982年、1990年、2000年和2010年第三次、第四次、第五次和第六次人口普查数据,结合人口重心研究和GIS空间自相关统计分析方法,探讨苏州市人口空间分布演化特征。研究结果显示:苏州市区人口增速快于苏州全市人口增速,人口密度呈现"古城区集中,向周围扩散"的趋势,东部人口密度逐渐增加;人口重心位于古城区西部,演化趋势是逐步"向东"移动,且移动速度越来越快;从空间自相关分析结果看,苏州市人口空间分布1982~2010年呈明显的空间集聚特征,苏州古城区表现为"高高"形态,通安、东渚和苏州科技城呈现与人口密度变化相反的"低低"形态。总体看,苏州市人口空间分布演化特征是古城区"集聚"到"更加集聚"形式,古城区周围的苏州工业园区、吴中区、苏州新区和相城区人口空间分布集中度不明显,分布相对均匀。The evolution of population spatial distribution of re＇ban area of Suzhou is explored by the center of population method and spatial autocori＇elation statistical analysis method, based on the third, fourth, fifth and sixth census data in 1982, 1990, 2000 and 2010. The results show that the population growth rate in urban area of Suzhou is faster than that in metropolitan areas of Suzhou. The population density shows the trend of ＂concentration of the ancient city and the spread of the suri＇ounding area＂, and the population density in the east of Suzhou is gradually increasing. The center of population is located in the west of the ancient city, and the evolution trend is gradually shifting eastward, and shifting faster and faster. From the results of spatial autocorrelation analysis, the spatial distribution of population in Suzhou showed obvious spatial agglomeration characteristics fl＇om 1982 to 2010, and the population distribution pattern of Suzhou ancient city ,was ＂HH＂, Tongan, Dongzhu and Suzhou Science and Technology City presented , was ＂LL＂ pattern in population density. In general, the spatial distribution of population in Suzhou is characterized by the ＂aggregation＂ to ＂more agglomeration＂ in the ancient city. The spatial distribution of population in Suzhou Industrial Park, Wuzhong District, Suzhou New District and Xiangcheng District is not obvious, and the distribution is relatively uniform.

关 键 词：GIS 人口重心 全局自相关分析 局部自相关分析 

分 类 号：F126[经济管理—世界经济]