气候变化经济影响研究热点的足迹可视化:整合被引文献和突现词  

Visualization of Climate Change and Economic Research Hotspots:Integrating Cited References and Burst Keywords

作　　者：李宁[1,2] 刘丽[1,2] 张正涛 冯介玲[1,2] 陈曦 白扣[1,2] Li Ning;Liu Li;Zhang Zhengtao;Feng Jieling;Chen Xi;Bai Kou(Key Laboratory of Environmental Change and Natural Disaster,Ministry of Education,Beijing Normal University,Beijing 100875,China;Academy of Disaster Reduction and Eraergency Management,Ministry of Civil Affairs and Ministry of Education,Beijing Normal University,Belting 100875,China)

机构地区：[1]环境演变与自然灾害教育部重点实验室北京师范大学,北京100875 [2]民政部/教育部减灾与应急管理研究院北京师范大学,北京100875

出　　处：《地球科学进展》2018年第8期865-873,共9页Advances in Earth Science

基　　金：国家重点研发计划重点专项课题"全球变化人口与经济系统风险评估模型与模式研究"(编号:2016YFA0602403);国家自然科学基金项目"沙尘暴重现期被估计偏长问题的理论与方法研究"(编号:41775103)资助~~

摘　　要：气候变化经济影响的研究受到各国政府与学者的广泛关注,是国内外的研究热点。以Web of Science核心数据库中检索的14 796篇与气候变化经济影响相关的文献为基础,整合文献共被引网络和突现词共现网络,对气候变化经济影响研究热点的足迹进行可视化分析。研究结果显示,文献数量整体上呈现指数上升趋势。时间上,研究热点在2007年以前,主要集中在气候变化的归因分析(化石燃料、土地利用变化等造成的CO_2排放增多),对自然生态系统(农业产量、粮食安全、北极冰盖、海岸带等)和社会经济系统(人类健康、能源、工业等)的影响及经济影响评估,演变到对未来气候变化情景、CO_2的减排及应对和减缓气候变化等的关注。2007年以后随着IPCC第四次评估报告及斯特恩报告的发布,进一步加强了气候变化影响的成本效益评估、脆弱性及生物能源等方面的研究,热点聚焦气候变化经济学及经济贸易。空间上,研究热点的发文主要来自于美国、加拿大、西欧(英国、法国、德国、意大利、荷兰等)、澳大利亚和中国等国家。The study of the economic impact of climate change has received extensive attention from governments and scholars around the world. This paper based on 14 796 literatures that related to climate change and economic from the core database of Web of Science. Integrating the method of co-citation network and burst keywords co-occurrence network to analyze the temporal and spatial changes of research hotspots on climate change and economic impact. The results show that the global literature＇s number keep a exponential growth trend, rapidly after 2007. Before 2007, the research hotspots primarily centered on the climate change attribution analysis （increased CO2 emissions from fossil fuels, land use changes, etc. ）, the impact on natural ecosystems （ agricultural production, food security, Arctic ice caps, coastal zones, etc.） and socio-economic System （human health, energy, industry, etc. ） , and the assessment of economic impac and then focused on the future scenarios of climate change and CO2 abatement and how to adapt and mitigate the climate change. After 2007, with the introduction of IPCC AR4 and Stern report, further strengthened the research on cost-effective assessment of climate change impact, vulnera- bility, bioenergy and so on. The research hotspots focus on economics of climate change and trade. In space, the literatures of research hotspots were mainly come from the United States, Canada, Western European countries （UK, France, Germany, Italy, Netherlands）, Australia and China.

关 键 词：气候变化 经济影响 研究热点 时空变化足迹 可视化 

分 类 号：P467[天文地球—大气科学及气象学]