江淮城市群区域发展与资源环境耦合协调分析  

Analysis on the Coupling Coordination between Regional Development and Resources and Environment in Jianghuai Urban agglomeration

作　　者：刘岩 白如山[2] 刘恺恺 

机构地区：[1]河南大学黄河文明与可持续发展研究中心 [2]阜阳师范学院历史文化与旅游学院

出　　处：《中国名城》2018年第10期33-39,共7页China Ancient City

基　　金：安徽省创新发展研究攻关课题"合肥都市圈持续发展的结构性机理及调控路径研究"(编号:2017CX019);安徽省大学生创新训练项目"长三角城市群(安徽区)持续发展的资源环境响应机理及优化路径研究"(编号:201610371034);国家级大学生创新训练项目"合肥都市圈持续发展的结构性机理及优化研究"(编号:201710371011)

摘　　要：综合运用耦合协调度模型、ESDA等方法分析2005-2015年江淮城市群区域发展与资源环境耦合协调度的空间特征。研究发现:(1)整体上,合肥、芜湖、铜陵三地市耦合度较高,蚌埠、淮南、六安等地市耦合度较低;(2)2005-2015年间江淮城市群区域发展与资源环境耦合度水平是趋于优化,尤其是淮南、马鞍山转型较为典型,生态环境逐渐协调;(3)研究区耦合协调度Moran's I指数呈现"低-高-低"的倒U型发展模式,即呈现"发散-集聚-发散"的演变特征。随后,进一步分析影响江淮城市群区域发展与资源环境空间耦合分异机制,结果表明:主要影响因素有人均GDP、科研从业人员数、财政收入总额等,且存在明显的时空异质性。The paper analyzes the spatial characteristics and influencing factors of the coupling coordination degree between the development of Jiang-Huai urban agglomeration and the resources and environment from 2005 to 2015 by means of coupling coordination degree model, spatial autocorrelation and geographical detector. The results show that： ①The prefecture-level cities with higher coupling degree are represented by the central cities of Hefei and Wuhu, Tongling, etc. The prefecture-level cities with low coupling degree are mainly concentrated in the northern and western Anhui areas, such as Bengbu, Huainan and Liu＇an.②In general, the level of coupling of Jianghuai urban agglomeration between regional urban development and resources and environmenthas tended to be optimized in the past ten years, especially the resource-based cities represented by Huainan and Ma＇anshan have been well transformed in the process of devdopment, and the ecological environment is gradually coordinated. ③The Moran＇s I index of the coupling coordination degree between the regional development and the resources and environment of the Jiang-Huai urban agglomeration shows the development model of ＂low-high-low＂ inverted U-type, that is, the coupling coordination degree presents a trend of＂divergence, agglomeration and divergence＂. It shows that resource consumption and environmental load are still needed in the process of development. ④The main influencing factors of spatial differentiation are the per capita GDP, the number of scientific research personnel, the total financial income and so on, and there is obvious spatial and temporal heterogeneity.

关 键 词：区域发展 耦合协调度 地理探测器 江淮城市群 

分 类 号：K921[历史地理—人文地理学]