我国新能源消纳预警分析研究  

Research on Early Warning Analysis of New Energy Accommodation in China

作　　者：李娜娜 谢国辉 李琼慧 刘佳宁 汪晓露 LI Nana;XIE Guohui;LI Qionghui;LIU Jianing;WANG Xiaolu(State Grid Energy Research Institute Co.,Ltd.,Beijing 102209,China)

机构地区：[1]国网能源研究院有限公司,北京102209

出　　处：《电器与能效管理技术》2018年第17期69-74,共6页Electrical & Energy Management Technology

基　　金：国家自然基金资助项目(基金编号71373076);国家电网公司科技项目(SGTYHT/16-JS-198)

摘　　要：分析梳理我国新能源装机规模发展和重点地区新能源运行消纳形势;综合考虑新能源弃电率、年利用小时数、消纳比重3个指标,构建新能源消纳情况评估预警分析模型;结合我国新能源发电发展情况分析结果,对重点地区新能源消纳水平进行预警分析,并对未来促进新能源消纳工作的重点进行了阐述。This paper analyzed the development of new energy installations and operation in China. Consid^ring the new energy abandoning rate, the annual utilization hours, and new energy consumption proportion, an early warning analysis model of the new energy accommodation was constructed. Based on the analysis results of China＇S new energy generation development, the new energy consumption early warning analysis in the key areas was made. And the key work to promote the new energy accommodation in the future was described.

关 键 词：新能源 发电 消纳评估 预警指数 

分 类 号：TM72[电气工程—电力系统及自动化]