基于蒙特卡罗法的水下恒流远供系统可靠性分析  

Reliability Analysis of the Underwater Constant CurrentRemote Power Supply System Basedon Monte-Carlo Method

作　　者：张晓 晏庆[1] 崔浩贵[1] 赵海波 ZHANG Xiao;YAN Qing;CUI Haogui;ZHAO Haibo(91469 PLA Troops,Beijing 100036,China;91286 PLA Troops,Qingdao 266003,Shandong,China)

机构地区：[1]91469部队 [2]91286部队

出　　处：《光纤与电缆及其应用技术》2018年第5期32-38,共7页Optical Fiber & Electric Cable and Their Applications

摘　　要：基于采用链式结构的海缆恒流远程供电系统,针对系统中单元存在开路/短路的故障情况,分析解析法、图形法求解系统可靠性指标存在的局限性,进一步系统化研究水下供电系统的可靠性。采用蒙特卡罗法对系统的故障树模型进行可靠性仿真,利用Matlab工具得到系统的不可靠度、可靠度、失效率等指标。Based on the chain structure of the submarine cable constant current remote power supply system,and aiming at open/short circuit fault existing in the system unit,the limitations of analytical method and graphic method for solving system reliability index are analyzed, and further the reliability of underwater remote power supply system is systematic researched. The reliability of the fault tree model of the system is simulated by Monte-Carlo method, and the unreliability, reliability and failure rate of the system are obtained by Matlab.

关 键 词：恒流远程供电系统 开路/短路故障 蒙特卡罗法 故障树 可靠性 

分 类 号：TN915.02[电子电信—通信与信息系统]