考虑价格偏好的交易连接强度仿真  

Simulation on Transaction Connection Strength Considering Price Preference

作　　者：郑文 李亚鹏 马莹莹 Zheng Wen1, Li Yapeng2, Ma Yingying2(1. School of Management, Northeastern University at Qinhuangdao, Qinhuangdao 066004, China; 2. School of Business Administration, Northeastern University, Shenyang 110169, China)

机构地区：[1]东北大学秦皇岛分校管理学院,河北秦皇岛066004 [2]东北大学工商管理学院,辽宁沈阳110169

出　　处：《系统仿真学报》2018年第10期3883-3892,共10页Journal of System Simulation

基　　金：国家自然科学基金面上项目(71473032)

摘　　要：LDP (Large-user direct purchase)模式下的大用户对价格的敏感度差异,使大用户获得较低廉电价,对电力系统的现期利益分配产生影响,并影响产业更新换代。选取电力系统的LDP模式,考虑大用户价格偏好差异化条件,通过Swarm仿真平台模拟价格偏好对交易连接强度的影响及范围,得出电力市场的现期利益分配状态。仿真结果表明:当大用户优先选择较低电价的概率较高时,电力系统中存在较高的市场集中度,存在对市场产生影响的非自然垄断现象。研究结论对于监管非自然性的电力市场的垄断具有借鉴意义。Under LDP （Large-user Direct purchase） mode of power system, interests of the imbalance distribution exist in the power system in the long-term, due to the sensitivity of the larger user to the price to a certain extent. The impact of price preference on the transaction connection strength is analyzed, constructing the states of the interest distribution by using the Swarm simulation platform. The results of the simulation suggest that the higher the priority probability is, the more concentrated the power system becomes. It shows the non-natural monopoly caused by the market power. The results of this study can be referred for the regulation of power market in monopoly of the non-natural structure.

关 键 词：电力市场 价格偏好 交易连接强度 LDP模式 SWARM仿真 

分 类 号：N945.11[自然科学总论—系统科学] C93[经济管理—管理学]