基于联立方程组模型的区域科技创新发展研究  

Study on Regional Innovation and Development of Science and Technology in China Based on Simultaneous Equations Model

作　　者：邓珂雅 陈绍刚[1] 王宏广[2] Deng Keya;Chen Shaogang;Wang Hongguang(School of Mathematical Science,University of Electronic Science and Technology,Chengdu 611730,China;Chinese Academy of Science and Technology for Development,Beijing 100038,China)

机构地区：[1]电子科技大学数学科学学院,四川成都611730 [2]中国科学技术发展战略研究院,北京100038

出　　处：《科技管理研究》2018年第19期23-30,共8页Science and Technology Management Research

基　　金：科技部科技创新发展战略研究专项"技术预测平台框架设计及相关模型算法研究"(ZLY2015129);四川省科技基础条件平台项目"基于大数据的创新驱动战略决策支持系统平台"(15010126)

摘　　要：基于经济发展和科技进步之间相互促进的关系,利用2014—2016年我国31个省级行政区科技发展相关数据建立联立方程组模型,对科技进步与经济发展的相互促进关系以及影响经济发展的科技因素进行定量分析,并对东部发达地区与西部欠发达地区的科技发展进行比较分析。研究结果显示,研究与实验发展(R&D)经费投入对东部地区生产总值(GDP)有更为显著的推动作用,而高端人才的紧缺使西部地区发展受到限制。Based on the analysis of mutual promotion and mutual restraint relationship between science and technology and economic development, this paper establishes simultaneous equations model by using the data of scientific and technological development of 31 provincial administrative regions in China from 2014 to 2016, quantitatively analyses the relationship between science and technology and economic development as well as the influence of the mutual promotion is zed, compares the development of science and technology in the eastern and western regions. The results show that, the development of research and experiment（RD） funds have a more significant role in promoting the gross domestic product（GDP） in the East, and the shortage of high-end talent in the western region limits its development.

关 键 词：科技发展 地区生产总值(GDP) 联立方程组模型 东西部对比 面板数据 

分 类 号：G301[文化科学] F124.3[经济管理—世界经济]