城镇职工统筹养老金规范调整方案设计  

Design of Standardized Adjustment Scheme for Urban Workers’ Overall Pension Plan

作　　者：韩伟[1] 王会敏 郑新 Han Wei;Wang Huimin;Zheng Xin(School of Economics and Management,Yanshan University,Qinhuangdao Hebei 066004,China)

机构地区：[1]燕山大学经管学院

出　　处：《统计与决策》2018年第20期42-47,共6页Statistics & Decision

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重大项目(11&ZD014);河北省人力资源社会保障厅出国留学归国资助项目(C201500106);河北省教育厅人文社科研究基地重点项目(20151018)

摘　　要：2005年我国启动基本养老金调整机制，但实践中并没有真正实现规范调整。文章以养老保险基金收支平衡为前提，综合考虑城镇职工养老保险计划覆盖人口的复杂性以及不同年龄阶段消费需求的差异性，运用回归估计方法确定养老金调整指数，由此设计三层次养老金调整方案，并基于2016年物价和实际工资增长情况，以河北省为例测算三层次方案下养老金合理调整幅度，由此得出河北省2016年实际调整幅度过大，给养老保险基金收支平衡带来压力的结论。China launched the basic pension adjustment mechanism in 2005, but it has not really achieved the normative ad- justment in practice. Based on the balance of income and expenditure of the pension fund, this paper comprehensively considers the complexity of the population covered by the pension plan for urban workers and the difference of consumption demand at dif- ferent ages, uses regression estimation method to determine the pension adjustment index, from whieh three-level pension adjust- ment plan is designed. And then based on the 2016 price and the real wage growth, the paper takes Hebei Province as an example to calculate the reasonable adjustment range of pension under the three-level plan, from which a conclusion is drawn that the actu- al adjustment range of Hebei Province in 2016 is too generous, thus bringing pressure to the balance of income and expenditure of the pension fund.

关 键 词：城镇职工 养老保险 调整方案 

分 类 号：F244[经济管理—劳动经济]