基于集对分析的区域农村公路建设发展阶段性评价  

Evaluate of regional rural road construction and development of static phase based on set pair analysis

作　　者：白骅 王建军[1] 许鹤[2] BAI Hua;WANG Jian-jun;XU He(School of Highway,Chang＇an University,Xi＇an 710064,Shaanxi,China;School of Architecture,Chang＇an University,Xi＇an 710061,Shaanxi,China)

机构地区：[1]长安大学公路学院,陕西西安710064 [2]长安大学建筑学院,陕西西安710061

出　　处：《长安大学学报（自然科学版）》2018年第5期189-195,共7页Journal of Chang’an University(Natural Science Edition)

基　　金：国家高技术研究发展计划("八六三"计划)项目(2007AA11Z248);陕西省交通科学技术研究项目(15-26K);中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金项目(310821153402;310841161001)

摘　　要：为了合理有效评价区域农村公路建设的发展阶段实际状况,针对性的指出薄弱环节和改进方向,提出了一种基于集对分析的区域农村公路建设发展阶段评价方法。在总结相关研究的基础上,结合农村公路特点,运用目标分解的逻辑方法,从农村公路建设率、养护与安全水平、运营水平、管理强度4个方面,建立区域农村公路建设发展的分阶段指标体系。综合运用层次分析法(AHP)和嫡技术得出各评价指标权重。通过计算各指标的联系程度,采用均衡原理判断区域农村公路建设发展的阶段性结果,以福建省农村公路的发展为例,合理确定该区域农村公路发展的整体水平。研究结果表明:福建省农村公路发展评价结果为优良处于较高水平,并找出了农村公路建设发展过程中的薄弱环节;用集对分析模型(SPAM)对区域农村公路建设发展进行评价的结果与实际分析的结果基本接近,说明该方法的客观合理性。该方法不仅能为下一阶段农村公路政策制定提供依据,还能为此类评价提供一种新方法。In order to realistically and effectively evaluate regional rural road construction and static phase development,and point out weaknesses and direction of improvement,a comprehensive evaluation method was proposed based on set pair analysis.On the basis of summary research results,a target decomposition method was used to establish a phased index system for regional rural highway construction development from four aspects：construction rate,maintenance integrity,operational level,and management involvement.The analytical hierarchy process（AHP）and entropy techniques were integrated to determine the weight of each index.By calculating the contact and degree of each index,the principle of sharing was used to judge regional rural road construction and development evaluation results to rationally determine the overall level of rural highway development in the region.The evaluation results show that ruralhighway development in the Fujian Province is at a high level,and the weak links in the process of rural highway construction are exposed.Evaluation results of regional rural highway construction development with set pair analysis method（SPAM）are similar to that of actual analysis,indicating that the method is objective and realistic.This method provides a basis for the next stage of rural highway policy formulation and its evaluation.

关 键 词：交通工程 农村公路 指标体系 集对分析 阶段性评价 

分 类 号：U491.122[交通运输工程—交通运输规划与管理]