我国海洋经济与国民经济发展比较分析  

Comparative Analysis of Marine Economy and National Economic Development in China

作　　者：孙瑞杰[1] 杨潇[1] 羊志洪[1] 姜丽[1] SUN Ruijie;YANG Xiao;YANG Zhihong;JIANG Li(National Marine information and Data,Tianjin 300171,China)

机构地区：[1]国家海洋信息中心,天津300171

出　　处：《海洋经济》2017年第5期58-64,共7页Marine Economy

基　　金：天津市科技兴海项目[KJXH2014-26]

摘　　要：21世纪以来我国海洋经济快速发展,已经成为国民经济新的增长点。在综合分析我国对海洋经济发展政策演变基础上,对海洋经济总体发展水平、海洋产业结构演变过程、海洋三次产业拉动效应以及海洋经济吸纳就业能力进行了定量测算和实证分析,并分别与同期国民经济发展状况进行了比较。最后,运用"多项式"和"线性"预测模型对我国海洋经济的发展趋势进行了预测和分析。Since the 21 st century, China＇s marine economy has developed rapidly,become a new growth engine of national economy. Based on the comprehensive analysis of the policy evolution of marine economic development in our country, this paper analysed the overall level of development of marine economy, marine industrial structure evolutionary process and the pull effects of three marine industries and the marine economy ability to absorb employment, and carried on the quantitative calculation and empirical analysis, and compared with the national economic development. Finally, the development trend of marine economy in China was predicted and analyzed by using the ＂polynomial＂ and ＂linear＂ prediction models.

关 键 词：海洋经济 拉动效应 吸纳就业 比较分析 

分 类 号：F222[经济管理—国民经济]