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作 者:郭泽强[1] GUO Ze-qiang(Nanning Municipal Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Nanning, Guangxi 530023, China)
机构地区:[1]南宁市疾病预防控制中心,广西南宁530023
出 处:《实用预防医学》2018年第11期1407-1408,F0003,共3页Practical Preventive Medicine
基 金:南宁市科学研究与技术开发计划项目(合同号20173020-4)
摘 要:登革热是最重要的蚊媒传播疾病,其传播和流行受多种因素影响。大量研究证实登革热传播风险与气温、降雨等气候因素以及人口密度、交通、土地使用方式和公共卫生状况等社会因素密切相关。然而,多数研究只涉及其中某一个或某几个因素的独立作用效应,针对多因素联合作用效应的研究较少。因此,迫切需要建立多因素预测预警系统,以提高早期预警能力。Dengue fever is the most important vector-borne viral disease,and its transmission and epidemic are influenced by various factors. Many studies indicate that the transmission risk of dengue fever is closely associated with climatic factors,including atmospheric temperature and rainfall,and social factors,including population density,traffic,land use and public health status.However,these studies often involve an independent effect of single factor or several factors,and it is rare to study multifactorial combined effect. Therefore,it is necessary to establish the multifactorial forecast system so as to improve the early warning capacity.
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