山西省能源产业上市公司竞争力评价及预测研究——基于DEA模型和GM(1,1)模型综合分析  

Competitiveness Evaluation and Prediction of Shanxi Energy Industry Listed Companies Based on DEA Model and GM(1,1) Model Comprehensive Analysis

作　　者：侯亚娟 彭佑元[1] 陶凯莉 HOU Yajuan;PENG Youyuan;TAO Kaili(School of Economics and Management,North University of China,Taiyuan 030051,China)

机构地区：[1]中北大学经济与管理学院,太原030051

出　　处：《河南科学》2018年第11期1830-1838,共9页Henan Science

基　　金：2018年度山西省高等学校人文社会科学重点研究基地项目基金(2018338)

摘　　要：从效率视角出发,采用DEA模型对山西省能源产业上市公司的竞争力进行评价,并在此基础上,使用灰色理论模型对其未来竞争力进行预测研究.结果表明,漳泽电力的竞争力在山西省能源产业上市公司中排名第一,阳泉煤业、潞安环能和通宝能源三家上市公司的竞争力水平最弱;通过对各家公司竞争力水平的预测,发现在未来6年中,安泰集团和太化股份公司的竞争力较其他公司处于领先水平,通宝能源和阳泉煤业的竞争力较弱.From the perspective of efficiency, the DEA model is used to evaluate the competitiveness of listed energy companies in Shanxi Province, and on this basis, a grey theoretical model is used to predict the future competitiveness. The results show that the competitiveness of Yuze Power ranks is first among the listed companies in the energy industry of Shanxi Province, and the listed companies of Yangquan Coal, Luan Huaneng and Tongbao Energy have the weakest competitiveness levels. We find they pass the level of competitiveness of various companies. According to the forecast, it is found that in the next six years, the competitiveness of Aetna Group and Taihua Company is more advanced than that of other companies, and the competitiveness of Tongbao Energy and Yangquan Coal Industry is weak.

关 键 词：能源产业 效率视角 竞争力评价 预测 

分 类 号：F291.1[经济管理—国民经济]