中美旅游服务产业内贸易的影响因素研究——基于灰色关联分析  

A Study on the Influencing Factors of the IIT in Tourism Service between China and the United States: Based on Grey Relational Analysis

作　　者：晁文琦 胡婧玮 王晓云[1] CHAO Wen-qi;HU Jing-wei;WANG Xiao-yun(School of Economics and Management,Hainan University,Haikou 570225,China)

机构地区：[1]海南大学经济与管理学院,海南海口570228

出　　处：《经济问题》2018年第11期74-79,共6页On Economic Problems

摘　　要：服务市场是中美两国的核心竞争市场,而中国在旅游服务贸易中一直处于逆差状态。基于灰色关联分析法解读年度数据,从不同角度探析影响中美旅游服务产业内贸易的因素,结果表明:中国大量出口的低附加值产品是造成中美旅游服务贸易逆差的主要原因;中美旅游服务产品的异质性降低两国产业内贸易水平;中国较低的服务贸易市场化水平和贸易壁垒严重阻碍两国双边贸易;人均收入水平的差距决定着中美的差异型经济需求结构。中国要加强货物贸易紧密度,提高出口产品在全球价值链的地位;利用外商直接投资优化服务贸易结构,有序拓宽服务领域的开放程度;改善社会福利及扩大旅游行业市场规模,以提高我国的服务竞争优势。Service market is the core competitive market in China and the United States,while China has been in adverse balance in trade of tourism service. This paper interprets the annual data based on the grey relational analysis,and explores the influence factors of trade in Chinese and American tourism service industry from different perspectives. The results show that the export of a large number of low value-added products in China is the main reason for the adverse trade balance in Chinese and American tourism service,the heterogeneity of products in Chinese and American tourism service reduces the level of trade in the two domestic industries,the low marketization level of service trade and trade barriers in China seriously hinder the bilateral trade between the two countries,the difference of per capita income determines the differential economic demand structure of China and the United States. According to the results,some suggestions are given as follows： China should strengthen the tightness of trade in goods and improve the status of export products in the global value chain,optimize the structure of trade in service by foreign direct investment and expand the openness of the range of services in an orderly manner. China also should improve social welfare and expand the market scale of the tourism industry so as to improve the service competitive advantage in China.

关 键 词：旅游服务贸易 产业内贸易 市场规模 灰色关联分析 

分 类 号：F740[经济管理—国际贸易] F592.3[经济管理—产业经济]