一二三产业融合与农业绩效提升——基于WIOD数据的实证分析  

Convergence of the three industries and agricultural efficiency advancement:Empirical analysis based on WIOD data

作　　者：孙会敏[1] 张晶[2] 于春荣[1] Sun Huimin;Zhang Jing;Yu Chunrong(School of Economics,Changchun University,Changchun,130022,China;School of Management,Changchun University,Changchun,130022,China)

机构地区：[1]长春大学经济学院,长春市130022 [2]长春大学管理学院,长春市130022

出　　处：《中国农机化学报》2018年第11期100-107,共8页Journal of Chinese Agricultural Mechanization

基　　金：国家留学基金管理委员会(CSC)2017年青年骨干教师出国研修资助项目(201707535004);吉林省发展和改革委员会社科项目(2016C076)

摘　　要：探讨一二三产业融合与农业绩效提升的关系。通过直接消耗系数法,对WIOD投入产出数据进行实证分析,发现与农业融合度较高的主要是第二产业中的农产品加工、纺织服装、医药、化工等产业。对农业产业绩效及农业与相关产业的融合度进行协整检验,发现这些变量之间存在长期均衡的关系,并构建VAR模型,通过脉冲响应分析和方差分解实证检验变量之间的相互作用。结果表明农业绩效水平对来自农产品加工与农业、化工产业与农业融合的冲击具有正向显著的响应,而对来自纺织服装业与农业融合的冲击响应不明显。最后提出利用产业融合促进农业绩效提升的建议。The purpose of this paper is to find the relationship between industrial convergence and agricultural efficiency.Using the data collected by WIOD and employ input coefficients,the paper analyzes the relationship between the convergence of agriculture and other related industries and the improving of agricultural production efficiency.The results show that the industries of higher convergence with agriculture include manufacture of food products,beverages and tobacco products,manufacture of textiles,wearing apparel and leather products,manufacture of pharmaceutical products,manufacture of chemical products.The conducted Johansen co-integration test shows that long-term equilibrium relationship exits between agricultural efficiency and industrial convergence.The impulse response and variance decomposition based on VAR modeling indicate that agricultural efficiency response positively to agricultural products processing industry and chemical industry,and response slightly to textile industry.

关 键 词：产业融合 农业绩效 VAR 

分 类 号：F320[经济管理—产业经济]