地理距离和垂直关联产业协同发展——基于长江经济带的实证研究  

Geographic Distance and Vertical Linked Industries’ Coordinated Development

作　　者：陆剑锋[1,2] 党耀国 LU Jian-feng;DANG Yao-guo(School of Economics and Management,Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics,Nanjing 211106,China;School of Marxism,Nantong University,Nantong 226019,China)

机构地区：[1]南京航空航天大学经济与管理学院,江苏南京211106 [2]南通大学马克思主义学院,江苏南通226019

出　　处：《数学的实践与认识》2018年第22期65-75,共11页Mathematics in Practice and Theory

基　　金：国家自然科学基金(71771119)

摘　　要：以产业间的垂直关联为切入点，加入空间权重矩阵，建立包含空间外溢效应的垂直关联产业协同发展的理论模型和分析框架。在此基础上，以长江经济带112座城市为研究对象建立联立方程，采用步进回归的方法分析了随地理距离变化的生产性服务业和制造业这两类垂直关联产业的协同发展问题。研究表明，两类产业之间的空间溢出效应显著存在，并且生产性服务业的空间溢出效应总体大于制造业；地理距离对两类产业的影响存在区域边界，在220公里的范围内，生产性服务业和制造业均能产生显著的正面影响；考虑上海、武汉和重庆产业发展的综合影响，只有这三座超大城市周边范围的较小区域受到了显著的促进作用。Based on the vertical linkages between different industries, this paper establishes the theoretical model and analytical framework of the vertical industries＇ coordinated development and spatial spillover effects by means of spatial weight matrix. On this basis, taking the 112 cities in the Yangtze River Economic Belt as research object, this paper analyses the coordinated development of producer services and manufacturing based on the change of geographic distance by stepping regression and simultaneous model with two equations. The results show that the spatial spillover effects between producer services and manufacture significantly exist, and the spatial spillover effect of producer services is overall greater than that of manufacturing. It is confirmed that the spatial spillover effect has regional boundary in view of the influence of geographic distance. Within 220 km, both the producer services and manufacturing industry can exert a remarkably positive impact. Considering the comprehensive influence of industrial development of Shanghai, Wuhan and Chongqing, only the vertical linked industries in a relatively small area surrounding these three big cities are significantly promoted.

关 键 词：生产性服务业 制造业 地理距离 空间溢出 

分 类 号：F127[经济管理—世界经济]