第三方移动支付的通货膨胀效应分析——基于拓展的费雪方程式的实证研究  

The Study of the Inflationary Effects of Third-party Mobile Payments——Based on the Analysis of the Extended Fisher Equation

作　　者：毕艳成 Bi Yancheng(School of Economics and Management,Central China Normal University,Wuhan 430079,China)

机构地区：[1]华中师范大学经管学院

出　　处：《中南财经政法大学研究生学报》2017年第5期46-52,共7页Journal of the Postgraduate of Zhongnan University of Economics and Law

摘　　要：第三方移动支付的快速发展不仅改变了人们的支付习惯,而且加快了货币流通速度,从而产生通货膨胀效应。为了验证这一点,文章首先在理论上放宽了货币流通速度不变的假定,引入第三方移动支付的货币流通速度,对费雪方程式进行改进;在实证上,选取了2013-2016年第三方移动支付的季度数据,并建立广义线性模型对理论分析进行验证。研究结论表明：第三方移动支付规模的不断扩大对通货膨胀存在持续的冲击作用,并且这种冲击作用在不断加强。The rapid development of third-party mobile payments has not only changed people＇s payment habits,but also accelerated the circulation speed of money,resulting in inflationary effects. To verify the effects,this paper theoretically loosened the assumption that monetary velocity is constant,introduced money velocity of the third party mobile payment,and improved the fisher equation. On the empirical basis,the quarterly data of third party mobile payment in2013-2016 was selected,and the theoretical analysis was verified by a generalized linear model. The study concludes that the increasing scale of third-party mobile payments has a sustained impact on inflation,and the impact is increasing.

关 键 词：移动支付 费雪方程式 流通速度 通货膨胀 

分 类 号：F822.5[经济管理—财政学]