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作 者:刘勇 郭婷[2] 张宁 宣晓冬 LIU Yong;GUO Ting;ZHANG Ning;XUAN Xiaodong(Academy of Sciences,Zhejiang Normal University,Jinhua 321004,China;College of Geography and Environmental Sciences,Zhejiang Normal University,Jinhua 321004,China;Zhejiang Intellectual Property Research and Service Center,Hangzhou 310012,China)
机构地区:[1]浙江师范大学科学研究院,浙江金华321004 [2]浙江师范大学地理与环境科学学院,浙江金华321004 [3]浙江省知识产权与服务中心,浙江杭州310012
出 处:《现代信息科技》2018年第12期9-12,共4页Modern Information Technology
基 金:浙江省自然科学基金资助项目:支持机电产品创新的技术挖掘方法研究(项目编号:LY14E070002)
摘 要:技术路线图(Technology Roadmap)是技术评价与预测领域的核心工具之一。本文将文献计量学中有关专利的分析方法应用到技术路线图中,制定了技术路线图的设计步骤,并以室内空气净化领域为研究案例,进行了室内空气净化技术的预测和分析。研究结果显示,通过专利大数据分析可显著减少技术路线图对专家经验的依赖,提高技术评价与预测的客观性。The Technology Roadmap is one of the core tools in the field of technical evaluation and prediction. In this paper,the analysis methods for patents in bibliometrics were introduced into the construction process of the technical roadmap and the new design steps for the technology roadmap were developed. According to the new technology roadmap design steps,indoor air purification technology were predicted and analyzed as a research case. The research results showed that the big data analysis on patents could significantly reduce the dependence of the technology roadmap on expert experience,thereby improve the objectivity of technical evaluation and prediction.
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