山东省县域人口—经济空间分异与动态变化研究  

County Population-economic Spatial Difference and Dynamic Change in Shandong Province

作　　者：张玉 任建兰 ZHANG Yu;REN Jian-lan(College of Geography and Environment,Shandong Normal University,Jinan 250358,China)

机构地区：[1]山东师范大学地理与环境学院,山东济南250358

出　　处：《资源开发与市场》2018年第12期1629-1636,共8页Resource Development & Market

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(编号:41571525);山东省社会科学重大项目(编号:16AWTJ05)

摘　　要：运用集中度指数、探索性空间数据分析、重心分析法、不一致指数等方法,探究了2001—2016年山东省137个县域单元人口和经济空间分异与动态变化状况。结果表明:(1)山东省人口集中度指数整体呈现西南高、东北低的分布格局,并出现集聚趋势,经济集中度指数分布格局呈现"双核"模式,高水平经济区具有强大的辐射效应,出现极化现象;(2)山东省人口集聚趋势大于经济的集聚趋势,但经济空间分布的不均衡性仍大于人口,人口和经济集中度在空间上相邻县域间存在着较高的正相关性;(3)山东省人口重心和经济重心都偏离几何重心向西南方向移动,人口重心的移动距离大于经济重心;(4)山东省人口与经济空间匹配类型中协调发展型县域数量下降,经济滞后型县域数量上升。根据研究结果提出山东省人口和经济发展空间优化建议,对统筹区域协调和促进区域可持续发展提供参考借鉴。This paper used concentration index,exploratory spatial data analysis,center-of-gravity analysis,and inconsistent index to explore the spatial variation and dynamics of the population and economic space in 137 counties in Shandong Province from 2001 to 2016. The results showed：（1）The geographical concentration of the population showed a low distribution pattern in the southwest and high in the northeast,and appeared an agglomeration trend. The distribution pattern of economic geography showed＂dual-core＂model,high-level economic zones had powerful radiation and polarization effects.（2）The agglomeration trend of the population was greater than that of the economy,the imbalance in the spatial distribution of the economy was larger than that of the population. The population and economic geographic concentration had a high positive correlation between spatially adjacent counties.（3）The population and economic center of gravity deviated from the geometric center of gravity and moved toward the southwest. The moving distance of population center of gravity was greater than that of the economic center of gravity.（4）The coordinated developmental counties of population and economic spatial matching types reduced,and the number of economically lagging counties increased. Finally,this paper put forward some suggestions on the spatial optimization of population and economic development in Shandong Province,which was of great significance for the overall planning of regional coordination and the promotion of regional sustainable development.

关 键 词：人口分布 经济发展 空间分异 山东省 

分 类 号：F127[经济管理—世界经济]