我国农用柴油消耗的主要特征及影响因素研究  

Main Characteristics and Influencing Factors of China's Agricultural Diesel Oil Consumption

作　　者：苏晓宁[1] 王丽红 田志宏[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国农业大学经济管理学院,北京100083 [2]北京市大兴区农村工作委员会,北京102600

出　　处：《农业工程》2011年第3期100-103,87,共5页AGRICULTURAL ENGINEERING

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(项目编号:70873126)

摘　　要：柴油是农业生产的主要投入品,近年来柴油价格大幅上涨,推高了农产品生产成本,增大了农产品价格波动的风险。该文分析了我国农用柴油消耗的主要特征,农用柴油的消耗量呈逐年上升的趋势,具有显著的作物差异性和地区差异性。运用2000—2009年省级面板数据,建立计量模型分析了农用柴油消耗量的影响因素。结果表明:单位面积的农业机械动力和农业综合机械化水平是影响我国各地区农用柴油消耗的主要因素,它们与农业单位面积柴油消耗量呈正相关关系。文章还针对我国农用燃油消耗及有效供给问题提出了相应的政策建议。Diesel is the main input in agricultural production.In recent years,diesel prices have risen up,increasing agricultural production costs therefore,raising the risks of price fluctuations of agricultural products.Through the analysis of the characteristics of diesel consumption,it becomes clear that agricultural diesel consumption shows an uptrend,with significant product differentiation and regional difference.In this paper,the authors create a panel data model to analyze factors affecting agricultural diesel consumption.The empirical results indicate that the mechanical power of agriculture and agricultural mechanization level are the main factors that impact the regional agricultural diesel consumption.The two factors are positively correlated respectively with agricultural unit diesel consumption.To solve the problems of excessive consumption and lack of provision,this paper tries to provide some suggestions.

关 键 词：农用柴油 区域不平衡性 农业机械动力 机械化水平 

分 类 号：F323.3[经济管理—产业经济]