技术引进、适宜性技术进步与出口增长  

Technology import,appropriate technological progress and export growth

作　　者：汪桥红[1,2] 

机构地区：[1]河海大学商学院,江苏南京210098 [2]江苏省哲学社会科学规划办公室,江苏南京210013

出　　处：《东南大学学报（哲学社会科学版）》2015年第6期92-98 147,147,共8页Journal of Southeast University(Philosophy and Social Science)

摘　　要：面对中国出口增长乏力的窘境,寻求出口新动力成为中国经济维持可持续发展的关键。本文基于技术引进视角研究了适宜性技术进步对出口增长的影响效应,首先按照地域划分依次探讨了适宜性技术进步与出口增长的关系,然后采用门槛效应模型,以技术引进水平作为门槛变量,分析了随着技术引进水平的提升,适宜性技术进步对出口增长影响效应的变化轨迹。研究结果发现:适宜性技术进步显著促进了全国以及东部地区的出口广度增长;适宜性技术进步对全国以及东中西部地区的出口深度增长均无促进效果;适宜性技术进步对出口广度增长的影响存在较低的技术引进门槛,跨越门槛后随着技术引进水平的提升,影响效应逐步增强;适宜性技术进步对出口深度增长的影响存在较高的技术引进门槛。A new growth area of export is crucial for the sustainable development of the Chinese economy. This paperstudies the effect of appropriate technological progress on export growth from the perspective of technology import. It analyzes geographically the relationship between appropriate technological progress and export growth. Introducing the threshold effect model and setting the level of technology import as threshold variable,it also analyzes how the relationship between appropriate technological progress and export growth varies as the level oftechnology import goes up. The results show that appropriate technological progress promotes export volumegrowth in the East and China as a whole,appropriate technological progress has no promoting effect on export value growth,the thresho,ld value gets lower as appropriate technological progress begins to have promoting effect onexport volume growththe effect becomes stronger when the level of technology import increases,and that thethreshold value gets stronger as appropriate technological progress begins to have promoting effect on export value growth.

关 键 词：适宜性技术进步 出口增长 技术引进 门槛效应模型 

分 类 号：F752.62[经济管理—国际贸易] F124.3[经济管理—产业经济]