中国商贸流通业增长方式转换及效率评价——来自1993—2014年省际面板数据的实证研究  

An Evaluation on Growth Pattern Transformation and Efficiency of China's Commercial Circulation Industry

作　　者：董誉文 DONG Yu-wen(Renmin University of China,Beijing100872,China)

机构地区：[1]中国人民大学商学院,北京市100872

出　　处：《中国流通经济》2016年第10期12-23,共12页China Business and Market

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目"基于流通创新的贸易增长方式转变研究"(70973049)

摘　　要：中国商贸流通业作为社会再生产中心环节、国民经济先导产业,增长方式转换相对滞后,地区发展差距明显。文章采用省际面板数据,基于产业层面、地区层面,综合使用索洛余值法、DEA-Malmquist指数法,对中国商贸流通业的增长方式转换和效率变化进行系统性分析。研究发现,现阶段中国商贸流通业增长方式仍然是以要素积累为主的"粗放型"增长方式,具备资本、劳动双驱动特征,并且全要素生产率全面显著恶化。在供给侧结构性改革背景下,中国政府应优化要素投入结构,全面推进技术研发投入,提升人力资本素质,提高资本产出效率,分地区、分阶段采取不同策略提高全要素生产率,促进商贸流通业增长方式从"要素驱动"到"效率驱动"的转换。Growth pattern transformation of China’s commercial circulation industry,which is the center of social reproduction and the leading industry in national economy,has been relatively lagged behind;and the gaps among different regions of that are obvious. Using China’s provincial panel data from 1993 to 2014,and with the help of Solow residual value method and Malmquist TFP index of DEA,the author conducts an empirical investigation on growth pattern transformation and efficiency of China’s commercial circulation industry from both the provincial and industrial aspects. It is suggested that,the growth pattern of commercial circulation industry in China is still extensive which is based on factors accumulation and mostly driven by both capital and labor. Meanwhile,its TFP has been getting significantly worsened since 2004. In the context of supplysidere form,the Chinese government should optimize the factor allocation,increase investment in technology research and development,improve the quality of human capital,promote the output efficiency of the capital,improve the TFP by adopting different strategies in different regions and stages,and realize the growth pattern transformation from "factor driven" to "efficiency driven".

关 键 词：商贸流通业 增长方式转换 要素贡献率 全要素生产率 效率驱动 

分 类 号：F710[经济管理—产业经济]