唐山城乡居民消费对经济增长影响差异化的实证分析  

An Empirical Analysis on Different Impact of Urban and Rural Residents' Consumption of Tangshan on its Economic Growth

作　　者：冬佳[1] 刘岭[2] DONG Jia;LIU Ling(Tangshan University , Tangshan 063000;Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing 100081)

机构地区：[1]唐山学院,唐山06300 [2]北京理工大学,北京100081

出　　处：《科学与管理》2016年第6期64-68,共5页Science and Management

摘　　要：作为多年来经济总量位居河北省第一位的唐山市,这几年国民经济得到了飞速发展,消费需求总量的逐步扩大在一定程度上对经济增长的拉动起到了举足轻重的作用。本文建立了城乡居民消费水平与唐山经济增长关系的误差修正模型,研究表明唐山城乡居民消费对其经济增长有正向拉动作用,城镇居民消费的拉动作用比农村居民的要大。因而,采取措施缩小城乡居民消费的差距,统筹二者的发展,是唐山完成两个"率先"的目标、建成全面小康社会不得不面对的问题。Tangshan, whose total economic output ranks first in Hopei province for years, has got a rapid development in nationaleconomy in recent years. Its gradual expansion of overall consumptive demand, in some degree, has played an important impact onits economic growth. This paper uses error correction model to explore the relationship between economic growth and consumptionof its urban and rural residents. The research shows that the consumption of its urban and rural residents has played a positive role inits economic growth, for which the urban residents' contribution is greater than the rural residents'. So, taking measures to narrow thegap between urban and rural residents' consumption and overall planning their development, has become a question , which he has toface , if he wants to fulfill the goals of the two "first" and build a well-off society in an all-round way.

关 键 词：城乡居民消费 经济增长 恩格尔系数 误差修正模型 

分 类 号：F224[经济管理—国民经济] F127