低油价下油田企业效益产量确定方法探讨  

Discussion on the method of determining the benefit output of oilfield enterprises at low oil price

作　　者：范智慧[1] 邴绍献[2] 赵小军[2] 许进进[1] 赵伟[2] Fan Zhihui;Bing Shaoxian;Zhao Xiaojun;Xu Jinjin;Zhao Wei(Exploration & Production Department,SINOPEC,Beijing City,100728,China;Exploration and Development Research Institute,Shengli Oilfield Company,SINOPEC,Dongying City,Shandong Province,257015,China)

机构地区：[1]中国石化油田勘探开发事业部,北京100728 [2]中国石化胜利油田分公司勘探开发研究院,山东东营257015

出　　处：《油气地质与采收率》2017年第4期116-120,共5页Petroleum Geology and Recovery Efficiency

基　　金：国家科技重大专项“特高含水后期油田延长经济寿命期开发技术”(2016ZX05011-001)

摘　　要：油价断崖式下跌需要生产多少原油才能获得最佳的经济效益，是很多油田企业面临的困惑。针对低油价条件下油田企业缺乏规范和统一的效益产量确定方法，从成本属性和效益评价方法入手，建立了利润效益产量模型、现金流效益产量模型和边际收益效益产量模型。以某油田效益产量评价为例，在油价为50美元/bbl时，3种模型计算的效益产量分别为310×104，1967×104和2416×104t；分析了不同油价条件下3种模型计算的效益产量对油田企业生产经营的影响，提出油田企业应根据不同油价制定不同的经营策略，高油价下应以利润效益产量模型为主导，重在发展；低油价下应以边际收益效益产量模型为主导，重在生存。保持合理的产量规模是油田企业维持生存和可持续发展的基础。The tumble of the oil price brings huge impact on oil production and operation of the oilfield enterprises.There is confusion among many oilfield enterprises about how much oil should be produced for the sake of the most economic benefit.Aimed at the problem that method of determining benefit output is lack of standard,profit-benefit output model,cash flow-benefit output model and marginal revenue-benefit output model were established starting from the cost attribute and benefit evaluation.The evaluation of the benefit output of an oilfield was taken as an example.At oil prices of50$/bbl,the benefit output calculated from the three models was310×104,1967×104and2416×104t,respectively.The influence of the benefit output obtained from the three models on the production and operation of oilfield enterprises at different oil prices was analyzed.It was pointed out that oilfield enterprises should make different management strategies according to different oil prices.At high oil price,the profit-benefit output model should hold the leadership role with emphasis on development.At low oil price,the marginal revenue-benefit output model should hold the leadership role with emphasis on survival.Maintaining rational production scale is the basic for oilfield enterprise to survive and develop sustainably.

关 键 词：效益产量 成本 现金流 利润 边际收益 

分 类 号：TE313.8[石油与天然气工程—油气田开发工程]