基于MRIO模型的京津冀地区贸易隐含污染转移  

Inter-provincial transfer of embodied pollution in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region based on the MRIO model

作　　者：庞军[1] 石媛昌[2] 李梓瑄 张浚哲[1] PANG Jun;SHI Yuan-chang;LI Zixuan;ZHANG Junzhe(School of Environment and Natural Resources, Renmin University of China, Beijing 100872, China;College of Science, China Agricultural University, Beijing 100083, China)

机构地区：[1]中国人民大学环境学院,北京100872 [2]中国农业大学理学院,北京100083

出　　处：《中国环境科学》2017年第8期3190-3200,共11页China Environmental Science

基　　金：中国人民大学科学研究基金(中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助)(14XNJ008)

摘　　要：基于MRIO模型,自主编制了包括京津冀三地及其他省份?13个行业的2007年中国区域间投入产出表,选取SO_2?NO_x?工业粉尘?烟尘?COD和氨氮六类污染物,测算了京津冀三地的贸易隐含污染转移量,并引入贸易污染条件指标分析双边贸易对京津冀三地污染排放带来的不同影响.结果显示:从京津冀地区贸易隐含污染的转移格局来看,北京是最大的受益方,河北是最大的受损方,天津则相比河北是受益方但相比北京是受损方;京津冀地区的产业分布特点是影响地区间贸易隐含污染转移格局的重要因素;巨大的产品调出规模?偏重污染密集型产业的产品调出结构以及不利的贸易污染条件等因素共同作用使得河北成为京津冀地区环境质量受地区贸易负面影响最大的省份.Based on MRIO model,a multi-regional input-output table with13industries and4regions(Beijing,Tianjin,Hebei and other provinces)of China was made in2007,and the inter-provincial embodied pollution transfers in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region was estimated.It focused on six major pollutants such as SO2,NOx,industrial dust,smoke dust,COD and ammonia nitrogen.The Pollution Terms of Trade was adopted here to analyze the impacts of bilateral trade on emission in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region.The results indicated that Beijing benefited most while Hebei lost most and Tianjin sat in the middle with regard to embodied pollution transferring pattern.The industrial distribution pattern in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region was a major factor affecting the inter-provincial embodied pollution transfer in the region.Huge quantities of product transferred out,transferring of pollution-intensive industrial products as well as disadvantages in Pollution Terms of Trade made Hebei be the most negatively affected one of the three in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region.

关 键 词：MRIO模型 京津冀地区 贸易 隐含污染 污染转移 

分 类 号：X32[环境科学与工程—环境工程]