贵州区域经济增长核算与差异分析——基于1978~2015贵州各市州数据的考察  

Regional Economic Growth Calculation in Guizhou Province and Differential Analysis —— On Basis of the Data Investigation of Cities in Guizhou Province from 1978 to 2015

作　　者：燕安[1] Yan An

机构地区：[1]贵州财经大学经济学院

出　　处：《中国名城》2017年第9期30-35,共6页China Ancient City

基　　金：贵州省软科学基金资助项目"山区特色城镇化与贵州区域协调发展研究"(项目编号:黔科合体R字[2012]LKC2027号)

摘　　要：利用1978-2015年贵州省各市州数据测算各市州的资本存量,采用科布-道格拉斯生产函数对贵州各市州进行经济增长核算,并以此对地区差异进行了方差分解。研究发现:物质资本积累是贵州各地市州经济增长的首要推动因素。同时,物质资本要素也是地区差距的主要贡献者,但是自从西部大开发以来,全要素生产率对于地区差距的影响在持续增长,它将成为今后地区增长差异的主要影响因素。基于此,建议在制定贵州区域协调发展政策时,不但要考虑物质资本投资,而且还应采取有效措施提高各地全要素生产率水平。The paper has estimated capital stock for9Prefectural-Level city in Guizhou Province during1978~2015.By the use of Cobb-Douglas production function,we have investigated the contribution of physical capital and TFP to regional economic growth and disparity.Our findings are that(1)physical capital play the main role in Guizhou’s regional economic growth.What’s more the physical capital can explain most part of the regional income disparities of Guizhou from1978to2015.But this analysis also shows that the contribution of the TFP grows up quickly after China Western Development,which indicates TFP will determine Guizhou’s economic growth and regional disparities in the future.Through the research,it can bring some inspire on the government’s policy which should not only think about physical capital investment but also pay more attention on human capital investment and TFP level’s improvement.

关 键 词：资本存量测算 增长核算 资本产出弹性 方差分析 

分 类 号：C912[经济管理]