基于灰色关联分析的电信诈骗犯罪宏观影响因素探究  

Studies on Macroscopic Influencing Factors of Telecom-fraud Crime Based on Grey Relational Analysis

作　　者：焦婧[1] 刘晓丽[1] JIAO Jing;LIU Xiao-li(Department of Cyber Crime Investigation, National Police University of China, Shenyang 110854,China)

机构地区：[1]中国刑事警察学院网络犯罪侦查系,辽宁沈阳110854

出　　处：《辽宁警察学院学报》2017年第5期92-97,共6页Journal of Liaoning Police College

摘　　要：灰色关联分析(GRA)因在系统影响因素关联分析中的良好性能表现,使其在众多学科中都得到了十分广泛的应用。在当今大数据时代,基于"少数据"的灰色关联分析有着十分广阔的发展空间。借助灰色关联分析法对我国电信诈骗犯罪发案数的宏观影响因素进行关联分析,结果显示出生产总值及人均可支配收入、城乡收入差距这三个宏观影响因素对电信诈骗犯罪发案数有显著影响,进而为打击和预防电信诈骗犯罪提供了新思路。Grey relational analysis(GRA)has been widely used in many disciplines because of itsgood performance in association analysis of system factors.In today’s era of big data,the grey relationalanalysis based on“less data”has a very broad space for development.In the analysis of macro factorsincidence of telecommunications fraud in China using GRA,results showed that GDP and per capitadisposable income factors,income gap between urban and rural areas have significant influence on thenumber of telecommunications fraud incidence,which provides a new thought to combat and preventtelecommunications fraud.

关 键 词：灰色关联 分析电信诈骗 宏观影响因素 

分 类 号：D918[政治法律—法学]