基于WSR和熵权物元可拓理论的地铁火灾风险评价  

Risk Evaluation of Subway Fire Based on WSR and Entropy Matter-element Extension Theory

作　　者：阳富强[1] 朱伟方[1] 刘晓霞[1] YANG Fuqiang;ZHU Weifang;LIU Xiaoxia(College of Environment and Resources,Fuzhou University,Fuzhou 350116,China)

机构地区：[1]福州大学环境与资源学院,福建福州350116

出　　处：《安全与环境工程》2017年第6期184-188,共5页Safety and Environmental Engineering

基　　金：福建省自然科学基金项目(2016J01224);福建省高校杰出青年科研人才计划项目(83016018)

摘　　要：为客观合理地对地铁火灾风险进行评价,借助WSR方法论,以物理-事理-人理为基础,从人员、设备、设计、环境、管理五个方面构建了地铁火灾风险评价指标体系,并结合熵权法和可拓学理论建立了地铁火灾风险评价的熵权物元可拓模型,利用该模型对某地铁火灾风险等级进行评价。结果表明:待评价地铁火灾风险等级为II级,即该地铁火灾风险处于"较安全"状态,该评价结果与实际情况相符合,表明该方法能够客观地评价地铁火灾的风险,其中人员因素对地铁火灾风险的影响最大。根据地铁火灾风险评价等级和各评价指标的权重,可为地铁火灾防治提供理论依据。In order to evaluate the risk of subway fire objectively and reasonably,with the help of WSR methodology,this paper establishes the subway fire risk evaluation index system from5aspects,namely personnel,equipment,design,environment and management.Combined with the entropy method and the extension theory,the paper establishes the entropy weight matter element model to evaluate the risk level of a subway fire.The results show that the subway fire risk grade is II which is on the"safer"level,and the evaluation results are in line with the actual situation.It shows that the method can objectively evaluate fire risk of subway and the personnel factors have the greatest impact on the fire risk of subway.According to the subway fire risk grade and the weight of each evaluation index,the result can provide theoretical basis and key protection measures for the prevention and control of subway fire.

关 键 词：地铁火灾 风险评价 WSR方法论 熵权法 可拓学理论 

分 类 号：X951[环境科学与工程—安全科学] U231.96[交通运输工程—道路与铁道工程]