上海城市适应气候变化关键技术研究进展  

Progress of Key Technologies for Climate Change Adaptation in Shanghai Urban

作　　者：吴蔚[1] 田展[1] 胡恒智[1] 刘校辰[1] 孙兰东[1] 董广涛[1] 穆海振 谈建国[1] Wu Wei;Tian Zhan;Hu Hengzhi;Liu Xiaochen;Sun Landong;Dong Guangtao;Mu Haizhen;Tan Jianguo(Shanghai Climate Center, Shanghai 200030;Shanghai meteorological information and technology support center)

机构地区：[1]上海市气候中心,上海200030 [2]上海气象信息与技术支持中心,上海200030

出　　处：《气象科技进展》2017年第6期126-133,共8页Advances in Meteorological Science and Technology

基　　金：国家自然科学基金青年基金项目(41401661);国家自然科学基金项目(41671113);国家重点研发计划(2016YFC0502700);华东区域气象科技协同创新基金合作项目(长三角城市群气候变化风险评估)

摘　　要：以上海为例,围绕如何提高城市适应气候变化能力问题,从百年监测诊断和统计动力降尺度预估等气候监测预估技术,针对防汛、农业和能源消耗的城市气候变化重点领域影响评估技术,面向基础设施、城市弹性及适应性措施评价的城市气候风险评估决策支持技术三个方面,系统地分析和总结了上海在城市适应气候变化关键技术研发方面的创新成效,并提出城市适应气候变化未来可能的发展方向,以期为今后中国其他城市适应气候变化研究和行动方案制定提供理论依据和技术支撑。This work sets Shanghai as a demonstration to address on the issues that how to improve climate change adaptation.We focus on three aspects in terms of climate monitoring(diagnostic analysis of more than100years’observation data)and prediction technique(statistical and dynamic downscaling method),climate change assessment technique(for flood,agriculture and energy)and urban climate risk assessment decision support technique(including the urban climate disaster and infrastructure risk assessment tool,RDM method and urban simulator).It analyzes and summarize the innovation of core techniques on urban climate change adaptation and proposes direction of future development in order to provide theoretical basis and technical support for other cities'implementation of climate change research and action plan.

关 键 词：城市气候变化 适应理论 关键技术 研究进展 

分 类 号：P467[天文地球—大气科学及气象学]