台湾对外贸易模式的演进与背离:1998—2015  

The Evolution and Deviation of Taiwan's International Trade Patterns: 1998—2015

作　　者：李非[1,2] 徐晓伟 LI Fei;XU Xiaowei(Taiwan Research Institute,Xiamen University,Xiamen 361005,China;Collaborative Innovation Center for Peaceful Development of Cross Strait Relations,Xiamen 361005,China)

机构地区：[1]厦门大学台湾研究院,福建厦门361005 [2]两岸关系和平发展协同创新中心,福建厦门361005

出　　处：《审计与经济研究》2018年第1期106-117,共12页Journal of Audit & Economics

基　　金：教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地重大项目(11JJD810006)

摘　　要：国际贸易模式主要分为产业间贸易和产业内贸易,在当前全球和区域经济一体化过程中,贸易模式逐渐从产业间贸易向产业内贸易转化。利用1998—2015年SITC十类产品的进出口数据对台湾贸易产品的Lafay指数进行测算,结果显示:台湾对外贸易仍然以产业间贸易为主,且产业内贸易和产业间贸易分别基于产品差异和规模经济、生产效率和要素禀赋差异而发生。进一步构造基于RSCA指数和TC指数的贸易模式背离倾向指数(H指数)可以发现,台湾对外贸易整体上存在净出口能力水平大于比较优势水平的正背离倾向。International trade patterns are mainly divided into inter industry trade and intra industry trade,and along with the development of global and regional economic integration process,trade patterns gradually change from inter industry to intra industry.In this paper,the Lafay Index of Taiwan's ten kinds of products according to SITC is calculated by using the import and export data from the year of1998to2015,and the results show that inter industry trade is the main pattern of Taiwan's international trade.Intra industry and inter industry trade are based on product differentiation and scale economy,production efficiency and factor endowment differences respectively.We further construct Trade Pattern Deviation Index(H Index)based on the RSCA Index and TC Index,it's found that the overall net export capacity of Taiwan is higher than the level of comparative advantage,and thus the deviation tendency of trade pattern is positive.

关 键 词：台湾对外贸易模式 海峡两岸经济比较优势 净出口能力 背离倾向 Lafay指数 RSCA指数 TC指数 产业内贸易 产业间贸易 国际贸易 

分 类 号：F752[经济管理—国际贸易]