我国省域资本流动问题研究——基于1978-2015年的数据分析  

The Research on the Capital Flow in Provincial Areas in China——Based on the Data Analysis from 1978 to 2015

作　　者：王振兴[1] WANG Zhenxing(Haikou Provincial Sub-branch PBC, Haikou Hainan 570100)

机构地区：[1]中国人民银行海口中心支行,海口570100

出　　处：《西部金融》2017年第12期34-38,共5页West China Finance

摘　　要：本文从投资率和储蓄率的关系出发,运用1978-2015年全国面板数据测算了我国东、中、西部和30个省份的β系数。结果表明,1978年以来,我国总体资本流动强度缓慢提升,其中东部地区资本流动较为活跃、西部次之,中部地区资本流动活跃程度较差。从时序看,东部地区资本流动性显著增强,中部和西部地区资本流动性则有所减弱;分省份看,经济发达的东部沿海城市其资本流动程度总体较强,大部分中西部省份资本流动依然不够活跃。Based on the relationship between the investment rate and the saving rate,the paper uses national panel data from1978to2015to measure the beta coefficients of China’s eastern,central and western regions as well as30provinces.The results show that since1978,the overall capital flow strength of China has increased slowly,among which the capital flow in the eastern region is more active,that in the western regions is less active,and that in the central region is least active.From the time series,the capital mobility in the eastern region has significantly increased,while that in the central and western regions has decreased.In the provinces,the economically developed eastern coastal cities have a strong capital flow,and the capital flows in the central and western provinces are still not active.

关 键 词：省域 资本流动 F-H模型 面板数据 

分 类 号：F832.2[经济管理—金融学]