住房特征与乡城移民的定居意愿  

The Housing Perspective and Settlement Intentions of New Migrants in The Cities

作　　者：毛丰付[1] 朱书琦 白云浩[1] MA0 Feng-fu;ZHU Shu-qi;BAI Yun-hao(School of Economics,Zhejiang Gongshang University,Hangzhou,Zhejiang 10018,China)

机构地区：[1]浙江工商大学经济学院,浙江杭州310018

出　　处：《贵州财经大学学报》2018年第2期13-24,共12页Journal of Guizhou University of Finance and Economics

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目“住房政策对劳动力迁移的影响机制及政策模拟:基于获取能力的视角”(71273235);浙江省高校人文社科重点研究基地(浙江工商大学应用经济学)项目;浙江省新苗人才计划项目“浙江省农民工住房需求研究-基于住房特征与定居意愿互动视角”(2016R408053)。

摘　　要：新型城镇化背景下,乡城移民群体发生了结构性变化,以住房为代表的社会性因素成为影响移民城市定居意愿的主要原因。基于杭州、广州、大连、西安四市的问卷调查数据,运用次序回归模型,探讨乡城移民的居住现状以及住房特征对其定居意愿的综合性影响,研究发现:住房特征是移民是否愿意定居城市的重要影响因素,住房产权对移民定居意愿影响最大,住房面积、住房支出、住房区位和住房环境也对定居意愿有显著影响;对于无本地户口移民而言,住房区位和住房面积对定居意愿的影响更大,而住房支出和住房环境对定居意愿的影响相对不敏感。In recent years,in the reality of urban and rural dual system and housing prices continue to rise,immigrants cannot achieve the exchange from the“sojourn”to“live”.This paper establishes the basic analysis framework of urban new immigrants'willingness to settle,and divides the relevant influencing factors into two basic categories:basic factors and housing characteristic factors,focusing on the relationship between housing and willingness to settle.Based on the questionnaire survey data of Hangzliou,Guangzhou,Dalian and Xi'an in 2014,the paper uses the comprehensive situation of tlie living status of new immigrants and the comprehensive effect of housing characteristics on their willingness to settle.It is found that tlie housing characteristics have great effect to new immigrants.Other factors such as the individual characteristics,human capital,economic welfare and social capital of the settled cities have different degrees of influence on the settlement of new immigrants.

关 键 词：乡城移民 定居意愿 住房特征 PROBIT模型 

分 类 号：F29[经济管理—国民经济]