基于两阶段DEA的空中突防兵力方案评价方法  

Air penetration combat forces plan evaluation method based on two-stage DEA model

作　　者：周中良[1] 程越[1] 寇添[1] 呙鹏程 ZHOU Zhongliang;CHENG Yue;KOU Tian;GUO Pengcheng(Aeronautics and Astronautics Engineering College, Air Force Engineering University, Xi’an 710038, China)

机构地区：[1]空军工程大学航空航天工程学院,陕西西安710038

出　　处：《系统工程与电子技术》2018年第4期797-804,共8页Systems Engineering and Electronics

基　　金：国家自然科学基金(61472441)资助课题

摘　　要：以效费比优选兵力方案是作战方案制定中的关键技术。以飞机编队突防作战为研究背景,用系统动力学的方法构建突防编队依次通过飞机拦截区与地空武器拦截区的兵力损失模型。将突防过程抽象为类型3的两阶段数据包络分析模型,证明其与类型1模型在效率加性分解与乘性分解上特性的不同,指出其无偏见性,并分别从两个阶段的输出与输入导向综合定义新的中立性评价方法。在仿真实验中,分别运用3种评价方法对可选兵力方案的两阶段与整体效率进行评价比较,根据任务要求,选取最优兵力方案。Forces plan optimization with cost-effectiveness is a key technology in operational plan formulation.The forces loss model which regards aircraft penetration combat as the background about penetration aircraft fleet loops through the interception zone of aircraft and air defense weapons is constructed based on the stock-flow model of system dynamics.And the penetration process is abstracted to the type-3of the two-stage data envelopment analysis model whose characteristics of additive and multiplicative methods are different from type-1on bias-free.Then,the new neutral evaluation method is proposed from the output-oriented and input-oriented of the two stages.In the simulation experiment,three evaluation methods are used to evaluate the two stage and the overall efficiency of the optional force plan,and the optimal force plan is selected according to the task requirements.

关 键 词：兵力方案 效费比 系统动力学 两阶段数据包络分析 

分 类 号：V37[航空宇航科学与技术—航空宇航推进理论与工程] N945.15[自然科学总论—系统科学]