基于Logistic模型的农户农业订单参与意愿影响因素分析——以乌鲁木齐县乌拉泊村为例  

Analysis on influence factors of farmers' agricultural order participation intention based on Logistic model——Taking Wulabo village of Urumqi county as an example

作　　者：高媛 李红[1] GAO Yuan;LI Hong(School of Economics and Trade,Xinjiang Agricultural University,Urumqi 830052,China)

机构地区：[1]新疆农业大学经济与贸易学院,新疆乌鲁木齐830052

出　　处：《广东农业科学》2017年第12期158-164,共7页Guangdong Agricultural Sciences

基　　金：国家自然科学基金地区项目(71562033)

摘　　要：农业订单一直是农业经济发展的重要内容,尤其在农超对接发展背景下,进一步研究农业订单具有重要意义。运用Logistic模型对乌鲁木齐县乌拉泊村农户参与农业订单意愿的影响因素进行研究,结果发现,在17个影响因素中,社会经历、农户家庭收入、农产品种类、目标市场、政策环境、自然环境、交通环境对农户参与农业订单意愿的影响不显著,性别、年龄、族别、文化水平、家庭人口数量、社会身份、经济来源、耕地面积、农产品价格、农产品滞销情况对农户参与农业订单意愿均有不同程度影响。Agricultural order has always been an important part of agricultural economic development,especially in the background of the development of agricultural superconnection,it is of great significance to further study agricultural order.Using the Logistic model to study the influence factors of farmers'participation in agricultural orders in Urumqi county,it was found that,in17factors,the effects of social experience,household income,types of agricultural products,target market,policy environment,natural environment,traffic environment on farmers to participate in agricultural order intention were not significant,the influences of gender,age,nation,cultural level,family population,social identity,source,cultivated land area,prices for agricultural products,agricultural products unsalable situation on farmers to participate in agricultural order were significant at different degrees.

关 键 词：农业订单 农户参与意愿 LOGISTIC模型 影响因素 

分 类 号：F304[经济管理—产业经济]