中国水貂皮价格波动及影响因素研究  

Research of Fluctuations and Influential Factors for Mink in China

作　　者：甘林针 张立中[1] GAN Lin-zhen;ZHANG Li-zhong(Economic Management Academy, Beijing Forestry University,Beijing 100083,China)

机构地区：[1]北京林业大学经济管理学院,北京100083

出　　处：《湖北农业科学》2018年第4期126-129,共4页Hubei Agricultural Sciences

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目(11BJY097)

摘　　要：通过H-P滤波法分析中国水貂皮价格波动,表明中国水貂皮价格呈现波动频率高、振幅大;运用因子分析法对影响水貂皮价格的因素实证分析,表明皮革和毛皮产业固定投资、毛皮和人造毛皮及其制品进口额、高收入群体收入水平、人民币对美元汇率、毛皮和人造毛皮及其制品出口额与国内水貂皮价格的相关性较高,渔业产品生产价格指数和貉子皮价格的相关性次之。The price of mink in our country is characterized by high-frequency fluctuations and large amplitude according to the results analyzed by Hodrick-Prescott filter.Factor analysis method is used to make empirical analysis of the influence factors on the price of mink.The results show that there is a high correlation between domestic price of mink and factors like fixed investment in leather and fur industry,amounts of imports of fur and artificial fur and their products,income level of high-income group,RMB exchange rate against US dollar,amounts of exports of fur and artificial fur and their products,besides,producer price index of fishing products takes the second place.

关 键 词：水貂皮价格 价格波动 毛皮动物 H-P滤波法 因子分析法 

分 类 号：F724.7[经济管理—产业经济]