人民币汇率对东南亚国家汇率的影响分析——基于人民币国际化的研究背景  

The Impact of RMB Exchange Rate Toward Southeast Asian Exchange Rate: Based on Background of RMB Internationalization

作　　者：方盛奇 FANG Shengqi(School of Finance,Anhui University of Finance and Economics,Bengbu,Anhui 233030,China)

机构地区：[1]安徽财经大学金融学院,安徽蚌埠233030

出　　处：《宜宾学院学报》2017年第11期10-17,共8页Journal of Yibin University

摘　　要：人民币汇率对东南亚五国汇率具有较大的影响力,区域内汇率波动呈现极强的联动效应。通过实证检验发现,在东南亚经济体货币篮子中,美元与欧元仍然是主导的参照货币,英镑对东南亚国家汇率的影响并不大。在亚洲区域内,日元对东南亚经济体汇率的影响主要为负,人民币影响的显著性较强,对新加坡、泰国、越南的影响已经超过日元,但是影响程度与美元、欧元相比较低。随着人民币国际化的推进,在未来东南亚区域驻锚货币的选择中,人民币具有成为区域锚货币潜力。RMB exchange rate has a greater influence on Southeast Asia currencies,and there is high correlation between and among these five countries.By empirical test,the result suggests that dollar and euro are still the dominant reference currency in the basket of currencies in the Southeast Asian,and the impact of the pound is small.In Asia,impact of yen on the Southeast Asian economies is mainly negative,the impact of RMB on Singapore,Thailand,Vietnam has exceeded yen,but the degree of influence is lower compared with dollar and euro.With the development of internationalization,RMB has great potential to become one of the regional anchor currencies in the future

关 键 词：汇率 人民币 东南亚国家 人民币国际化 

分 类 号：F830[经济管理—金融学]