“一带一路”对中国沿线区域经济增长的促进作用——基于PSM-DID的估计  

On the Promotional Effect of“One Belt and One Road”on the Economic Growth along the Line of China's Regions:Based on PSM-DID Estimation

作　　者：林勇[1] 杨龙 LIN Yong;YANG Long(School of Economics and Management,South China Normal University,Guangzhou 510006;Haikou Central Sub-branch of the People’s Bank of China,Haikou 570102,China)

机构地区：[1]华南师范大学经济与管理学院,广东广州510006 [2]中国人民银行海口中心支行,海南海口570102

出　　处：《广西师范学院学报（哲学社会科学版）》2018年第1期96-101,共6页Journal of Guangxi Teachers Education University：Philosophy and Social Sciences Edition

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目(12BJL057);广东省软科学研究计划项目"珠三角世界级城市群产业创新驱动能力"

摘　　要："一带一路"倡议自2013年提出以来,对中国地区经济增长产生重大影响。为进一步考察中央倡议对中国沿线区域经济增长的促进作用,选取全国288个地级市的面板数据,利用PSM-DID的方法(倾向得分匹配后的倍差法),检验"一带一路"对中国沿线地区经济增长的净影响,研究结果表明,在剔除影响经济增长的其他因素后,"一带一路"倡议对中国沿线经济增长有显著的正效应。同时,基于实证结果也给出了相应的政策建议。The“One Belt and One Road Initiative”has produced a significant impact when it was launched since 2013.To further explore the economic growth mechanism,this paper selects the panel data of 288 prefecture level cities,by using the PSM-DID method(differences-in-differences PSM estimator),to test the net impact on the economic growth.The results show that the“One Belt and One Road”Initiative has a significant positive effect on the economic growth along the line of China’s regions after removing other factors that affect the economic growth.At the same time,based on the empirical results,this paper also gives corresponding suggestions for policy makers.

关 键 词：“一带一路” 经济增长 区域发展 PSM-DID 

分 类 号：F294[经济管理—国民经济]